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Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Arik T.G. who wrote (4763)	9/28/1998 1:45:00 PM
From: Stoctrash	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 44573

ATG, give us a comparo of the SPX and OEX charts. Seems the OEX is weaker. What does history say about this? Q: What happens when the Dow is up more than 3% in the second half of September? A: Over the next three days, the Dow has rallied over 2%, on average, in 7 of 10 past occurrences. However, after the rally, stocks then fall an average of over 6% in 8 of 10 past occurrences. ============= October looms. Let variable values: theSec = DJIA_ACT Date Day 1 2 09/16/1901 Mon 0.657 -6.244 09/30/1902 Tue 0.650 -2.343 09/29/1903 Tue 2.036 -9.282 09/27/1915 Mon 1.547 1.976 09/23/1931 Wed -10.001 -6.773 09/20/1932 Tue 9.527 -3.734 09/27/1937 Mon 1.671 -10.209 09/20/1938 Tue -3.128 7.570 09/19/1974 Thu -2.960 -10.165 09/22/1987 Tue 0.083 -0.838 09/23/1998 Wed NaN NaN Avg 0.008 -4.004 AvgPos 2.310 4.773 AvgNeg -5.363 -6.198 PctPos 70.000 20.000 PctNeg 30.000 80.000 Maximum 9.527 7.570 Minimum -10.001 -10.209 StdDev 4.939 5.769 ZStat 0.002 -0.694 Variance 24.391 33.286