SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Bill Wexler's Profits of DOOM -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doug Fir who wrote (3113)9/29/1998 6:09:00 AM
From: Bill Wexler  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 4634
 
TO THE THREAD:

What I find truly unbelievable is that when I recommend shorting some scam company with no sales, massive losses and a stock price in the stratosphere, I get bombarded with dozens of emotional posts by a plethora of shills and cheerleaders claiming that I'm wrong and the stock will double or triple in a matter of weeks....then when I scream about buying Costco - a fast-growing company with billions in sales, great profit growth, and the stock trading at a 20 - 30% discount - the most I can muster is a few posts in mild agreement or skeptical comments about how we are certainly heading into a recession and the stock is going down for the count (check out the Costco thread).

Sometimes I wonder if there is some genetic trait that compels people to chase failure relentlessly and eschew glaringly obvious success. I can understand why an investor may get scared away from a stock like DELL because he's concerned it's "too expensive", but then this same guy will pay 5 a share for crud like TAVA thinking that it's "cheap"!!! Just what on Earth is going through someone's mind when they gamble good money on a company like CCSI, TAVA, ZITL, etc. etc. ?

I believe Barb Payne mentioned checking for shill activity as some sort of contrarian indicator. Perhaps we should start a new thread which not only checks for shill activity on scam stocks, but also for excessive gloom surrounding otherwise good companies. I suggest we come up with a rating system for posts...let's say 0 to 10, where:

10 = Warren Buffetesque wisdom and insight

0 = a TokyoMex style wrong-way loser.

If we note a thread where we reach a high-score consensus then we bet with the posters, and we bet against the consensus low-scorers.