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To: donald sew who wrote (54687)10/4/1998 8:06:00 AM
From: jjs_ynot  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
>>> Subjectively, the news from the economic meetings could give a temporary push to the market, but how long will that last <<<

I have been reading the news from the meetings. There doesn't appear to be a lot of good news. The Europeans (esp. France and Germany) don't seem inclined to do anything.



To: donald sew who wrote (54687)10/4/1998 8:59:00 AM
From: Gersh Avery  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 58727
 
Hi Donald Re:"Also, I heard that many will be getting their 401K monthly reports next week."

Not monthly .. quarterly.

This is where they see what happened to their retirement plans between 7/1 and 9/30.

Wake up call ..

Gersh



To: donald sew who wrote (54687)10/4/1998 9:30:00 AM
From: HairBall  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
donald: Since the price top in July, the moves down have been, three successive bear flags. (Within some of the flags one can point out bear pennants and wedges.) In each case the bear flags have oscillated back up to the horizontal trend line of the lows of the previous flag. This has proven to be final resistance to the rising bear flag patterns. Thus, culminating with the resolution of the bear flag pattern and the expected break to the down side.

Note: If this pattern continues, that would portend a drop to approximately 6500 to extend the pole and begin the next flag.

Charting: (Dow Industrials End of Day Semi-Log Chart with Theoretical Data.)

BWDIK
Regards,
LG



To: donald sew who wrote (54687)10/4/1998 9:31:00 AM
From: Robert Rose  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 58727
 
Brilliant post, Donald. I have lurked here now for over a year -
I read this thread because you contribute to it, and yours are
the only posts here that I consistently read. Hows that for
complements!

One question I have often wondered about: Why do you only initiate
puts and never calls? Your strategy is more understandable in this
bear market, but even in the very bull phase from Jan - Mar 1998,
you often chose to refrain from writing puts rather than choose
to write calls when that would have been quite profitable.

Thanks again for your hard work and generosity in contributing to
this thread.

Robert Rose



To: donald sew who wrote (54687)10/4/1998 9:54:00 AM
From: HairBall  Respond to of 58727
 
donald: EDIT to my previous post - The fact that the market closed up Friday, may have already started the process to negate the continuation of the bear flags scenario.

Pole formation, most often, requires significant moves in the same direction in sequential days.

Monday and Tuesday will be very important to determine if the pattern will continue.

BWDIK
Regards,
LG