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To: limtex who wrote (8456)10/5/1998 2:40:00 PM
From: Jim Pasinato  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 12468
 
Dear Limtex,
Saw this on the CNNfN site today:

Goldman Sachs' Cohen sees good
returns on equities, moderate growth for U.S.
October 5, 1998: 12:43 p.m. ET
WASHINGTON (Reuters) - Goldman Sachs'
Abby Joseph Cohen said Monday that the U.S.
stock market and corporate bonds are
undervalued.
"At today's stock prices, we think the S&P
500 is moderately undervalued based on our view
for 1999," Cohen said in a speech to the National
Association for Business Economists. "We
believe that corporate bonds are undervalued
relative to U.S. Treasuries based on our view for
1999."
Cohen said her team thought that the stock
market was "roughly at fair value" this summer,
but she said after stock prices "significantly
declined," she believed the undervaluation that
had marked stock prices in the early 1990s had
been re-established.
The team thought that the stock price decline
had caused a 12 to 15 percent undervaluation in
the Standard and Poor's stock index, she said,
"and we still believe that to be the case."

U.S. to see moderate growth

Cohen said that implicit in the current stock
market prices is a belief that the U.S. economy is
headed into a recession. But she disagreed with
that outlook, saying the U.S. economy -- which
she described as a "supertanker" -- would
weather the financial crisis abroad and record
moderate growth.
"We believe the current valuations in our
financial markets make sense only in an
environment where the U.S. economic expansion
is over, and we don't think so," she said, noting
that the valuations would make for "good" returns
on equity.
Cohen said that the economic woes in other
countries no doubt will damage the U.S.
economy, but perhaps not as much as many
analysts assumed. She said that while export
markets will suffer, U.S. corporations have
strength in "value-added" areas such as
technology and entertainment, which are less
sensitive to potential global price declines than
other more traditional export sectors.
She added that healthy but perhaps more
moderate demand within the U.S. economy itself
will help support profits.