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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: HairBall who wrote (30523)10/6/1998 10:44:00 PM
From: bobby beara  Respond to of 94695
 
...it needs to do it soon!...

I agree, scarey month is make or break.

bb



To: HairBall who wrote (30523)10/6/1998 10:53:00 PM
From: HairBall  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 94695
 
bobby: I am re-posting this, since SI lost some of the post and I did not note it until it was to late to edit.

You know I have been firmly on the side of a down trend since mid July! I have not wavered from my stance.

I downloaded my End of Day data for tonight. I spent a little more time tonight looking at the Indices and less time looking for short plays. I am now noting two things that concern me regarding my stance on the downturn:

One: The Dow Utilities have not confirmed this down turn. (I know lower interest rates is better for the Utilities than the other Indexes, but this is getting to be quite a divergence.)

Two: My Cycle Indicators are registering extreme negative momentum readings on the Dow Transports and Russell 2000. This implies an overdue bottom of some sort. Now I am not calling for a resumption of the bull, maybe just a pause in the bear or a real bear rally! However, I am beginning to feel, if a big break to the downside is coming, it needs to do it soon! Say, within the next 10 trading days!

I know I am getting ahead of my indicators with this and I always wait for the actual signal before I act! But one can after years, get a feel for what they (the indicators) most likely will signal in advance!

Any day now or not...<g>

BWDIK
Regards,
LG