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Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Clay M who wrote (6548)10/15/1998 11:22:00 PM
From: Stoctrash  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 44573
 
Clay & Dave_S

Here is some daily stats on the the Nasdaq
A/D line when you apply a MACD to it:

MACD trend MACD Above or below Zero ANN%
----------- ------------------------ -----
UP Above Zero ~+65%
UP Below ~+37%
DOWN Above +4-7%
DOWN Below Zero -(29- 37%) OUCH!!

Now this is some wild data....basically if that sucker is
pointing down on the NASDAQ A/D line and its below the
ZERO level ya better watch your ASS!!!
-----------------------------------------
Numbers he uses...but they can be anything similar:
(basic settings are 12-26,with a signal line of 9 exp. units)
(fast 6,19 with 6 exp. unit signal)
(slow 19-39 with 9 exp. unit signal)
------------------------------------
Other tid bits form his presentation:
RE: trading systems
Size of gain is most important rather than win/loss ratio.
Look for a 3-5X in Avg.Gain when compared to Avg. Loss.
He has seen very successful systems that have LESS than
50% W/L ratios...( i found that interesting!!!)
BASICALLY.... KEEP YOUR DAMN LOSSES SMALL!!
-------------------------------
MACD not a good indicator to use in slow uptrends...
Look for cycles in the MACD to coincide with market cycles,
for instance the 6-19 settings give a nice 33 day cycle profile.
In Sept '98, the 19-39 MACD went on a sell