SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends : Systems, Strategies and Resources for Trading Futures -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Tom Trader who wrote (6584)10/16/1998 10:59:00 AM
From: Vol  Respond to of 44573
 
Tom,

Thanks for the insight. Actually I like selling index calls against my portfolio better than individual covered calls b/c:

1) One commission instead of 20 or so.
2) The risk of a big gap up is less with the index than individual stocks, albeit yesterday was impressive. However, my DELL and other high betas shot up even more.
3) I think, possibly incorrectly, that the S&P is more predictable than individual stocks. This allows me to "roll for credits" more comfortably. For example, if SPX has shot up 15-20% in just a few months, I can buy back my ITM short call and sell 2 OTM calls for a total credit. I do this with the assumption that there will eventually be a pullback and my short calls will expire worthless.

I've done some "what if" scenarios and the market would have to skyrocket more than 30-35% in 3 months or less to generate a loss on the short calls. I think this would be a historical event if it ever happened. Of course, improbable is not impossible!

Vol



To: Tom Trader who wrote (6584)10/16/1998 11:02:00 AM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 44573
 
Tom,

Just noticed that the TRIN got as low as ".05". Has anyone seen it that low before. I am presuming that is an extreme, and could it be interpreted as a SELL SIGNAL. Still learning the TRIN.

seeya



To: Tom Trader who wrote (6584)10/16/1998 11:06:00 AM
From: TradeOfTheDay  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 44573
 
Tom, just dawned on me~

Guess we know now what direction the hedge fund was on those 30000 S&P contracts PEI mentioned. How convenient....