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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Zeem who wrote (72632)10/16/1998 3:16:00 PM
From: Paul Merriwether  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
<<
Your opinion of Dells valuation is irrelevant, I thing Humvey's (Hummers) are over
valued $94,000, but If you want one pay the money if you ain't got the Jack then
don't.
>>

That's an interesting way to do valuation of a common stock!
Most people compare the earnings or expected future earnings depending on the earnings growth, discounted at a reasonable rate and compare it with the yield on short term bonds, money market account etc.
I think bears complaining about the high Dell valuation are not wrong(how long will it take you with your stocks at 58/share to get an average return of $3.50/year which is what you would get by investing your $58 in a money market account). 5 years? Assuming Dell's 50% earnings growth etc etc.
On the other hand, everyone expects DELL to double and treble and then split this year. Ridiculous I say. It will take them 10-15 years to get the same money if Dell is really trading at $100/share.
I am not going to short Dell however(well maybe for a day-2 day trade whenever opportunity arrives)! I don't have any conviction left for really shorting Dell because people keep bidding it up and conviction costs money!(as Pygmalion character Dolittle would have said "Sir, I can't afford it"!).



To: Zeem who wrote (72632)10/16/1998 3:36:00 PM
From: Moneysmith  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 176387
 
Zeem if everyone said buy Dell where would the sellers come from?

I note that every time someone suggests shorting this stock on this thread someone calls for the Spanish Inquisition. I have made money by being long Dell (bot a bunch of the October 42.50 @3.375 calls) and I think I will try the other approach which is puts. You know what? If you stand back and take an objective view there are just too many Dell bulls out there.