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To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (1647)10/18/1998 8:03:00 AM
From: Otimer  Respond to of 81068
 
George,With the Russel 2000 down 35% are you buying any small-cap funds yet?



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (1647)10/18/1998 8:57:00 AM
From: sea_urchin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 81068
 
Yes, George, I accept that. It is a fact.

I am suggesting the reason the small caps have fallen by as much as they have, and relative to the large caps, is that the small caps are recognised by the market as being inferior investments --- ie they offer inferior growth prospects and, probably, inferior dividends. Their attraction is mainly to the smaller investor who is in for a quick buck. He panics in and he panics out.

In fact, I would even go so far as to suggest that, if any small cap stock had a particular merit, the large caps would have gobbled it up already!

Since they are considered as inferior investments, the small caps are, in fact, leading the bear market and not, necessarily, its reversal. Particularly the recent up-tick, which we have agreed, is not a true reversal.

Because they are cheaper, it does not mean, in my opinion, they are bargains. I would suggest, even though they are 35% cheaper than the large caps, that more money is still going into the large caps. And will continue to do so.



To: Crimson Ghost who wrote (1647)10/18/1998 11:39:00 AM
From: Jim McMannis  Respond to of 81068
 
George,
RE:"Searle: The Ryssell 2000 is down about 35% FROM ITS PEAK. THE
DOW NOW IS OFF JUST 10% FRON THE HIGH. THE SMALL
CAPS HAVE ALREADY SUFFERED A MAJOR BEAR. THE BLUE
CHIPS HAVE NOT."
----
At a theoretical low of 7379 in the DOW I believe it was off nearly 20%. Twice what it was in the 1994 pullback. Small caps were off about double then as well. I guess the moral of the story is, buy the big ones.
Jim