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Technology Stocks : PSFT - Fiscal 1998 - Discussion for the next year -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Rick who wrote (2874)10/20/1998 12:31:00 AM
From: Chuzzlewit  Respond to of 4509
 
Rick, I think I disagree with you on a couple of points regarding PSFT's downdraft. The proportion of service/license revenue is increasing, and according to Value Line, that generally results in a decrease in valuation. Value Line also pointed out that SAP is aggressively going after PSFT's market with some very big discounts. Now whether this is true or not is immaterial at this point. The general perception is that it is true, and it is the perception, not the reality, that drives the market.

But even if these concerns are correct, it seems to me that the bloodbath was overdone. PSFT's conservative accounting gives it excellent revenue visibility going forward. Perhaps when investors look at tomorrow's results with a little less passion we might be very pleasantly surprised at their reaction.

TTFN,
CTC



To: Rick who wrote (2874)10/20/1998 1:35:00 AM
From: gc  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 4509
 
Investors were expecting a pre-announcement after psft pulled out of conference. That didn't happen. Hence it induced this pre-earning run up. The small cap market rally also helped. However, the likelihood is very high for a post-earning sell-off given a 30% gain in two days. The risk-reward ratio is simply not there. I wouldn't buy before the earning.