Looks like WCOM is leading the charge to deregulate the Hong Kong market.
This from today's NYT ..
nytimes.com
Hong Kong Confronts Foreign Phone Giants By MARK LANDLER
HONG KONG -- Anxiety has been running high in this former British colony, which has seen its economy buckle, tourism dry up and free-market reputation tatter in the 15 months since it reverted to Chinese rule.
Now, a U.S. telephone company is warning Hong Kong that it could miss out on the information age if it does not quickly open its telecommunications market. "Hong Kong's Back Is Against the Wall," said a Cassandra-like newspaper advertisement recently taken out here by the company, MCI Worldcom Inc.
"Hong Kong is teetering on the edge," asserted Steve Liddell, president of the MCI Worldcom Asia Pacific unit. "It will either embrace the brave new age of telecommunications or return to an age of protectionism."
Hong Kong officials, perhaps not surprisingly, do not share the American company's alarm. "It is not our policy goal to be the most liberal telecommunications hub in Asia; that's a rather empty thing," said Geoffrey Woodhead, a senior adviser to K.C. Kwong, the secretary for information technology and broadcasting.
At issue is whether the Hong Kong government will allow new competitors to offer local telephone service in this territory of 6.8 million people. For the last three years, Hong Kong has licensed three local companies to provide service, in addition to the incumbent monopoly, Hong Kong Telecom. A decision on whether to license further competitors is expected in the next few weeks.
MCI Worldcom, formed in the recent merger of the United States' second- and fourth-largest long-distance companies, is eager to wire Hong Kong's teeming business district, so it can offer a package of voice and data services to the many multinational corporations here. The company already offers international service to about 100 customers on lines leased from Hong Kong Telecom. But it wants to offer corporate customers a complete menu of local and long-distance offerings. And it is dangling a bushel of carrots before the government here.
Among other blandishments, MCI Worldcom has promised to make Hong Kong the hub for an Asian fiber optic network that would stretch in a vast crescent from Tokyo to Singapore.
Just last Thursday, the government announced plans to open its international long-distance market to free-wheeling competition. But several analysts said they expected Hong Kong not to issue any more local phone licenses.
MCI Worldcom contends that by refusing to let more competitors provide the actual direct network connections to local customers, the territory would cut off its nose to spite its face. Without sophisticated global players, Liddell said, Hong Kong risks losing its status as a global financial center.
"If the competitors are limited to three local firms," he said, "it's our view that these services simply won't be available."
With its lofty talk and populist appeals to economic growth, MCI Worldcom's lobbying campaign is no different from campaigns waged by long-distance and local phone companies in the United States. But in recession-ravaged Asia, the company's message carries an edge: For those countries that pursue it, a competitive telecommunications market can be the road to recovery; for those that do not, protectionism can lead to economic obscurity.
MCI Worldcom notes pointedly that Japan and Australia both have fully liberalized local phone markets. The company is investing $350 million over 10 years to build a fiber optic network in Tokyo and $200 million to build one in Sydney. Though Liddell refused to discuss MCI Worldcom's potential investment in Hong Kong, it could easily run into hundred of millions of dollars.
Some analysts say Liddell makes a good case. "Hong Kong needs to jump on opportunities when they present themselves," said Lloyd Fischer, a telecommunications analyst at Salomon Smith Barney in Hong Kong. "They've got a good location geographically, but that's only worth so much."
Indeed, these days, analysts noted, Asia can look more terrifying than tempting to potential investors. Bell Atlantic Corp. recently took charges of $545 million to write down the value of its investments in Thailand and Indonesia.
Yet, though Hong Kong has suffered along with its neighbors, it is not about to play the needy supplicant. Regulators here, who contend that Hong Kong already has one of the more open markets in Asia, say they can preserve the territory's status as a financial center without handing out local phone licenses to any and all comers.
"We see liberalization of telecommunications as a means to an end, rather than an end in itself," Woodhead said. "We hope our telecoms policy will attract people to set up their regional headquarters in Hong Kong."
Certainly, Hong Kong has taken some steps to open its markets that go further than other Asian countries. It has four local phone providers, compared with Singapore's two. And unlike Japan, Hong Kong has no restrictions on the foreign ownership of local telephone companies -- a much-contested provision in last year's landmark World Trade Organization agreement.
In the accord, most countries agreed to let foreign companies acquire major stakes in domestic phone companies. Only Japan insisted on limiting foreigners to no more than 20 percent ownership of NTT and KDD, its main local and long-distance providers, respectively.
In its announcement on Thursday, Hong Kong said it would grant licenses to all companies that want to provide international direct-dial service in the territory. After Jan. 1, 2000, the licensees can build their own international networks here.
"It's not a free-for-all, but there is no question that Hong Kong's market is liberalizing," said Victor Shvets, head of telecommunications research at Deutsche Securities in Hong Kong.
Having opened its local telephone market ahead of its long-distance market, Hong Kong presents something of an anomaly in regulatory circles -- a quirk that is a result of the government's having granted Hong Kong Telecom a long-term monopoly on international service. Last February, it paid the company $864 million to terminate that franchise this year rather than letting the monopoly extend through the original date of 2006.
In contrast, Hong Kong broke open the local telephone monopoly in 1995, when it granted licenses to three start-up companies: New T&T, New World Telephone and Hutchison Telecom. All three companies are owned by powerful property developers, a circumstance that has been no small help in stringing wires into buildings.
But though the gaggle of local providers has made for a clamorous market, it has barely dented Hong Kong Telecom's monopoly. Collectively, the three rivals have less than 2 percent of the market. That is largely because they have been slow to build networks in Hong Kong's densely populated neighborhoods and hilly terrain.
Predictably, the upstarts are lobbying Hong Kong not to add to their struggles by granting additional local licenses. Given that these companies are owned by some of Hong Kong's most politically connected tycoons, their arguments carry plenty of influence.
Hong Kong's government has not hesitated to make decisions that benefited the developers, even when those moves seemed at odds with the territory's free-market credentials. In June, it suspended sales of public land; in August, it intervened heavily to prop up the stock market.
Several analysts said the developers might have an ulterior motive in opposing additional local licenses. If Worldcom cannot build its own network, it might feel pressed to buy out one of the tycoons.
But Liddell, who said Worldcom was not interested in such an acquisition, took an unsubtle swipe at the tycoons by suggesting that companies that put up apartment towers and ran supermarkets were not as able to offer up-to-date communications services as a company that focuses on building networks.
Hong Kong Telecom has taken a generally low profile in this debate, perhaps because it has its own economic and political problems. To ready itself for the deregulation of the market, the company recently announced plans to slash the wages of its 13,800 workers by 10 percent. But it was forced to back down after Hong Kong's chief executive, Tung Cheehwa, excoriated the move.
Hong Kong Telecom is controlled by Cable and Wireless PLC of Britain; the Chinese government-controlled China Telecom bought 5.5 percent of the company last year.
Worldcom is not the only foreign carrier active in Hong Kong. British Telecommunications has an alliance with Hutchison. And Global One, the joint venture owned by Sprint, France Telecom and Deutsche Telekom, offers international service on leased lines.
But only MCI Worldcom has ambitions to build a soup-to-nuts local network. Perhaps that is why the company has chosen to make its case so fervently and publicly. Besides, Hong Kong may represent the company's best remaining chance to make its local-telecommunications mark in Asia.
Certainly, MCI Worldcom has hit its share of snags breaking into the local phone business elsewhere in the region. Last year, before teaming up with MCI, the company bid aggressively for a license to offer local phone service in Singapore. But it lost out to a consortium that includes BT and NTT. Before that setback, Woodhead said Worldcom had suggested that it might move its Asian headquarters from Hong Kong to Singapore.
Today, though, there is no talk of moving. It may be that MCI Worldcom needs Hong Kong as much as Hong Kong needs MCI Worldcom. |