To: Gabe Fernandez who wrote (71 ) 11/4/1998 9:36:00 AM From: wolfdog2 Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 1386
Gabe, I doubt very much that PARS's stock price is very much, if at all, influenced by what is posted here. The story is what it is and for better or worse, it is out. I think that people here are, for the most part--Ariella and Omer specifically excepted--in too much of a hurry. I'm frankly surprised at some of the posts by people whom I thought should know better. Investing in biotechs is a bit like making goulash. You put the ingredients in the pot and then sit back and let it simmer. In this case, of course, it is the company that puts the ingredients together and we as shareholders just sit back and watch them go about their business. And we have very capable management, both scientifically and financially, watching our pot. But the stock needs to simmer for a while. And while it does, the price may move lower. Especially if people perceive, as Richard trumpets, that PARS is about to run out of money. So the shorts may keep banging away at the stock while management goes about its business of finding a partner for HU 211 and moving other products through clinical trials and regulatory approvals. However, the company, as Ariella ably pointed out, is not running out of cash. Long before ten months are up, I expect PARS to have found a partner for HU 211 and received up front payments. Not only that, sales from current products are ramping up and should provide an additional cushion. So why isn't the stock doing better? Well, the most important factor is that we have no Wall St. analyst coverage. Absent some significant event, analyst coverage is the sine qua non of getting the share price moving. We do, of course, have two advisory letters (Neuroinvestor and Sturza) recommending the stock. But given the huge number of shares outstanding, these two advisory services alone aren't enough to lift the shares. When we get Wall St. coverage (and a positive recommendation) the stock will begin to perform. Unfortunately, there were by my count only two Wall St. firms on the conference call yesterday. At least only two asked questions. So absent Wall St. coverage, the next significant event which could give a dramatic boost to the stock will be the signing of a partner for HU 211. After the signing of a partner, I would also hope that we might get some Wall St. coverage. Until then, I doubt that much of anything is going to happen with the stock. So we all might just as well sit back and relax and, to return to my goulash example, wait while the pot simmers.