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To: diana g who wrote (31693)11/11/1998 9:42:00 AM
From: Tomas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
The Oil Daily: Saudi Arabia Puts U.S. Projects on Fast Track

The Oil Daily, November 11, 1998
Having stunned the oil world in September by
asking selected U.S. oil companies to submit
proposals for any type of cooperative
venture they wanted, Saudi Arabia's Crown
Prince Abdullah apparently does not intend to
dally over decision-making.

With an unofficial deadline for the first round
of bids set for the end of this year,
participants at the now-famous Saturday tea
party at Ambassador to the United States
Bandar bin Sultan bin Abdul-Aziz's
Washington residence are rushing to prepare
offers that could see them back developing
the kingdom's oil for the first time in more
than 20 years.

The seven who attended were former
Aramco partners Chevron Corp., Exxon Corp.,
Mobil Corp. and Texaco Inc., plus Atlantic
Richfield Co. (Arco), Conoco Inc. and Phillips
Petroleum Co.

At least two proposals, from Arco and
Conoco, are already being considered,
Western industry sources say. Others are on
the way from Phillips, Texaco and Occidental
Petroleum Corp. -- though it wasn't actually
at the party.

Mobil and Chevron are both said to be
putting in offers relating to the Abu Safah
border field that Saudi Aramco operates on
behalf of Bahrain, while Exxon is said to be
looking at options including asset swaps,
international alliances and gas-to-liquids
development.

Crown Prince Abdullah is set to pass the
proposals on to oil minister Ali Naimi, Foreign
Affairs Minister Prince Saud al-Faisal and
possibly Finance Minister Ibrahim al-Assaf.
They will also be reviewed by technical
groups from Saudi Aramco and the oil
ministry, before a final decision is made by
the cabinet.

Participants at the tea party said decisions
should be made within six months to a year.

While instructions to the selected companies
were vague, one thing is sure: No
preconditions or prohibitions are being placed
on what firms can bid for -- despite some
signals that interest might be limited initially
to natural gas, rather than oil (TOD,
11-3-98, p.1).

The key will be how adept companies are at
selling their ideas to a Saudi government that
is keen to radically alter the country's
economic structure and to cement its
relationship with the United States.

At the economic level, its primary aim is to
ensure that the economy expands enough to
keep pace with a rapidly growing population.
A larger oil industry is seen as critical to this
growth.

Evaluation of the proposals will be based on
various criteria, including Aramco's own
capabilities.

One of the concerns arising from the
reopening is the possibility that it may be
seen as an implied criticism of the state oil
giant. Efforts are being made to dispel any
such notion. One suggestion is that Aramco
will be given the opportunity to offer a
counterproposal to ideas that it sees as
infringing on its turf.

Aramco sensitivities are also part of the
reason that there is a very public push to
focus international private attention on
natural gas and associated developments
because Aramco has not recently invested
heavily in this area.

On the upstream oil side, Saudi industry
insiders point out that Aramco has up to 2
million b/d of spare capacity at current
production rates of around 8 million b/d.

However, the emphasis on gas is not
exclusive. One of the goals is to free up
money in Saudi Arabia for other uses, a fact
that creates plenty of scope for argument in
favor of upstream oil deals as well.

The argument for a broad opening is further
strengthened if it can be shown that the
money spent by private oil companies inside
Saudi Arabia would otherwise have gone into
oil development in other countries.

That's particularly important, given that
several countries -- most notably Venezuela
and Iran -- have opened their doors in
recent years to private investment, Kuwait is
about to do the same, and companies are
set to start developing Iraq's oil once
sanctions are lifted.

Given that Saudi Arabia has the world's
largest and least-costly-to- produce oil
reserves, government insiders believe that
investors will find it difficult to go elsewhere
if these reserves are available.

However, Riyadh is anxious not to end up
with extra new capacity that remains idle,
and deals will probably stipulate that
companies themselves refine some or all of
the oil they produce, participants at the
Washington meeting said.

With U.S. firms heading the charge, the
theory goes, that could assure success for
years to come for the Saudi government
drive to remain the top U.S. supplier.

However, the bidding companies are likely to
fight any potential requirement that oil they
produce be returned to the United States,
with U.S. industry sources terming such a
concept unrealistic.

So far, the invitation to submit bids for
projects in Saudi Arabia has only gone to
U.S. firms. But European companies,
particularly British Petroleum Co. plc and
Royal Dutch/Shell Group, will probably be
invited to join, at least for a second wave of
projects.

Toby Odone
The Oil Daily -- 11-12-98