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To: VLAD who wrote (31719)11/11/1998 6:37:00 PM
From: pz  Respond to of 95453
 
Wednesday November 11, 8:46 am Eastern Time

Arrieta says no new cuts, but may
see Naimi Wed.

BUENOS AIRES, Nov 11 (Reuters) - Venezuela's oil minister
Erwin Arrieta re-iterated on Wednesday that his country
would be considering no new oil production cutbacks to
shore up ailing world oil prices.

''Not at all,'' Erwin Arrieta said when asked whether he felt further cuts would be possible.

But he said that he may discuss market conditions with Saudi Arabian oil minister Ali al-Naimi
on Wednesday if the opportunity arises on the sidelines of United Nations climate discussions
in Buenos Aires.

Both Naimi and Arrieta are attending the Nov 2-13 Buenos Aires summit, where world
environment ministers have gathered to discuss measures for the industrialized world to cut
its emissions of carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping gases in coming decades.

''Of course you meet in a city, you sit down and have a cup of coffee, and you talk about the
latest developments,'' Arrieta told Reuters.

He added that any extension of existing output reductions by major oil producers would be
subject to future oil market developments.

''We are constantly monitoring the market and communicating among the ministers, and not
just OPEC ministers,'' Arrieta said.

''Everything is subject to and depends upon the behaviour of the market,'' he said.

The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) has clubbed together with
non-OPEC producers this year for two rounds of production cuts, pledging to shed a total of
3.1 million barrels per day (bpd) from world production.

But the cuts have done little to support world oil prices, which have wallowed some $6-$7 per
barrel lower than year-ago levels for much of this year.

International benchmark Brent dipped below $12 a barrel on Tuesday, dangerously close to
the 10-year low of $11.55 hit in August, and was trading in a range near $12.20 a barrel in
midday London trade.




To: VLAD who wrote (31719)11/11/1998 6:38:00 PM
From: P.Prazeres  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 95453
 
what if the outcome of this Iraqi skirmish is that Iraq is allowed to crank up production????



To: VLAD who wrote (31719)11/11/1998 6:40:00 PM
From: pz  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Wednesday November 11, 11:52 am Eastern Time

FOCUS-Oil recovers as U.S.
reinforces Gulf troops

By Kate Dourian

LONDON, Nov 11 (Reuters) - Oil prices battered by steep
losses under a torrent of excess supply recovered slightly on
Wednesday after U.N. staff withdrew from Iraq in preparation
for a possible U.S. military strike.

World marker Brent blend crude oil for December delivery traded 29 cents higher at $12.33 a
barrel at 1426 GMT, a mild improvement following a loss of $1.23 late last week when prices
fell precariously near to the 10-year lows seen in August.

The oil price recovery was on the back of some short-covering following the withdrawal of
U.N. weapons inspectors from Iraq in what a U.N. spokesman in Baghdad said was a
precautionary safety measure.

But the market barely budged on news that the United States had ordered a second aircraft
carrier to the Gulf and additional warplanes including F-117 stealth fighters as part of its troop
buildup in the region.

''Much of the short-covering against the Iraq situation has been done. For now the market is
looking for something more solid to go on -- like the first missile,'' a futures trader said.

Iraqi oil exports of some 1.9 million barrels per day (bpd) under the current phase of the
oil-for-food programme, which expires later this month would continue uninterrupted, U.N.
special envoy to Iraq Prakash Shah said in Baghdad.

Oil analysts say the tensions over Iraq, which have simmered since Baghdad suspended
cooperation with U.N. arms inspectors two weeks ago, have been factored into the price,
which remains more than $6 below last year's average.


They point out that with oil stocks in industrialised nations at high levels, it would take a very
big supply disruption to have any impact on prices given that producers have already taken
out some 3.1 million bpd from the market so far this year without much improvement in price.

The International Energy Agency (IEA), the Western world's energy watchdog, said in its
recent oil market report that commercial stocks in Organisation of Economic Cooperation
and Development countries were 172 million barrels higher at end September than the same
time last year.

The Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries holds its biannual meeting in Vienna
on November 25 amid signs its leading members are opposed to further production curbs.

OPEC members have watched helplessly as the crude stockpile and falling demand has
frustrated their efforts to raise prices by agreeing a 10 percent cut in production this year.

Venezuelan Energy Minsiter Erwin Arrieta reiterated on Wednesday that his country was not
considering any new oil production cuts to shore up prices.

That view has been echoed by OPEC giant Saudi Arabia, whose minister Ali al-Naimi is likely
to see Arrieta in Buenos Aires on Wednesday where both are attending climate talks. Arrieta
said he may discuss market conditions with Naimi if the opportunity arose on the sidelines of
the conference.

Prices in dollars per barrel:
Nov 11 Nov 10
(1431 GMT) (close)
IPE December Brent 12.32 12.04
NYMEX December light crude 13.73 13.52