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Technology Stocks : How high will Microsoft fly? -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: DavidD who wrote (12513)11/23/1998 12:56:00 PM
From: Reginald Middleton  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
<In other words, if MSFT stock falls below $88 anytime soon, people will start putting those warrants back to MSFT for cash. At $76, the whole liability can be put to MSFT.>

And what is the probability of the stock falling to those levels and staying there for any significant amount of time?

If the stock fell to the average price, there would be very little putting for the article failed to take into the account the premium paid for the warrants. It must fall below the premium minus the strike price. Even then, MSFT will probably make off like a bandit since they now have a cheap source of stock to fund thier meritorious compensation packages. MSFT stock is currently more valuable than cash.



To: DavidD who wrote (12513)11/25/1998 7:37:00 AM
From: nihil  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 74651
 
RE: Put warrants

The sale of put warrants has been extremely profitable to MSFT ($121 million last year) and a few others who have broad stock option programs. Most of the MSFT warrants expire worthless and even if they were exercised, they would procure cheap shares for employees stock plans. The Times article is incorrect in terming the warrants "off balance sheet" liabilities. The warrants are exercisable for cash or shares (at MSFT's option), so in the event of a stock price collapse, the warrants would be satisfied by the issuance of shares at market price and would have no necessary cash implications at all. I wish I could sell 75 million MSFT puts on my own account, especially if I could deliver shares of MSFT in settlement.

From the latest 10Q:

"Microsoft repurchases its common stock in the open market to provide shares for
issuance to employees under stock option and stock purchase plans. During the
first quarter of fiscal 1999, the Company repurchased 5.1 million shares of
Microsoft common stock in the open market. In addition, the Company has
executed structured repurchases with an independent third party. Under these
arrangements, a portion of the purchase price will be paid in the next five or
six years and determined based upon the price of Microsoft common stock at that
time. The timing and method of payment (net-share or cash) is at the discretion
of the Company. The differential between the cash paid and the price of
Microsoft common stock on the date of the agreement is reflected in common stock
and paid-in capital. There were no structured repurchases during the first
quarter of fiscal 1999, and 11.7 million shares were purchased under these
arrangements during the first quarter of fiscal 1998.

To enhance its stock repurchase program, Microsoft sells put warrants to
independent third parties. These put warrants entitle the holders to sell
shares of Microsoft common stock to the Company on certain dates at specified
prices, and permit a net-share settlement at the Company's option. On September
30, 1998, 75 million warrants were outstanding. The outstanding put warrants
expire between March 1999 and September 2001 and have strike prices ranging from
$76 to $88 per share."