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To: SE who wrote (8983)11/24/1998 3:40:00 PM
From: Doo  Respond to of 44573
 
Scott: I watch a small collection of these types of indicators for contrary signals, potentially signaling intermediate term changes in market direction. The two I watch most closely are confirming the data you linked.

The Puts/Calls ratio is nearing a 5 year low, indicating a turn to the downside.

Similarly, investment newsletter writers are more bullish now than at any time over at least the past 5 years. The most recent five year extreme on this indicator, which was just surpassed, came in front of the now infamous "irrational exuberance" comment by AG.

I personally have found newsletter writer sentiment to be the most helpful in gauging points in the market action where change of direction is most likely to occur. The balance of my work is pure price and volume movement.



To: SE who wrote (8983)11/24/1998 6:04:00 PM
From: nicewatch  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 44573
 
Scott and all: updated S&P daily fork charts at: geocities.com They're the bottom charts, feel free to comment or throw stones. Regards, Frank



To: SE who wrote (8983)11/25/1998 5:05:00 AM
From: Patrick Slevin  Respond to of 44573
 
The only problem with that indicator, from a bearish slant, is ...

..."what happens when we take a looksee at 1992?"

quote.yahoo.com^SPX&d=my

One day I will figure this all out and write a book.