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Gold/Mining/Energy : Barrick Gold (ABX) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: ahhaha who wrote (847)11/24/1998 9:31:00 PM
From: Jim McMannis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3558
 
Ahhhhaha,
I must say I enjoyed your views of pumping and money leaking out the borders. I can say I agree.
As far as my indications being no better than a coin. All I can say is that they are better than 90% accurate but without you seeing them I can't expect you to believe that. There are fundamentals as well as technicals too. A neural network.
Never the less, your spiel about not wanting to make that much money and just be a "market participant" sounds very noble. Most would say, "what...are you crazy or something". Has me rolling my eyes. Probably good to know that if you need the money you can just make a few trades.
Jim



To: ahhaha who wrote (847)11/25/1998 8:03:00 PM
From: Tommaso  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3558
 
It's better to try to see exactly what is happening than to use analogies (and this is what you do--the first alternative--try to see exactly what is ahppening).

But to some extent the entire world is now involved in a 1929-like situation (I just repressed the urge to write "scenario"). There is deflation in commodities and deflation in agriculture (Deere is already hurting in the US because farmers can't buy new equipment). Eventually this results in a decline in demand for industrial products, at which point people get thrown out of work and demand declines even further. People in New York City were immune from the misery plaguing farmers about 1926-27. But then their turn came, and many were worse off; you can't eat old ticker-tape.

Monetary stimulus is a prerequisite and the Fed is trying to provide this for the whole world, in advance of trouble in the US. But fiscal stimulus is what's needed, especially for depressed sectors.

Here's a truly great opportunity for a 20-year-old with a bent for economics, finance, and accounting, to emerge like John Maynard Keynes as the savior of the upcoming catastrophe.