To: Shane M who wrote (602 ) 11/24/1998 9:10:00 PM From: Terence Mitchell Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 4691
Hi Shane, I'm not a sophisticated Hi-tech investor and have shied away from the internet stocks out of shear dis-belief in their rapid ascent. My background is more rooted in the resource sector and old value ideas. The only parallel that I can draw on, is the highly speculative Mining & exploration stocks (of which we have oodles in Canada). They are the "field of dreams" and the ruination of many young investors. The raw statistics are that approx one in one thousand discoveries become a mine therefore eventually most people lose their money except the ones that took it off the table in the run-ups. When I see the market caps of the Amazon.coms/e-bays etc, I cannot comprehend such values. So am I a fool for not jumping in ?, I think not because I am exposing myself to things I know little about and my life experience is that it is at such times that I have lost the most. I would be taking money off the table right now, awaiting some kind of shakeout and if opportunities present themselves again, or if things become more clear then "maybe" re-investing. Yesterday Bill Gates made almost 3 billion on paper, to me that is so monstrous, that I cannot believe the excesses that exist in today's markets, again I just find it mind boggling. This post was not intended to add much to the "intellectual debate" about value, only to add a precaution from an older person who just feels that something is not right here and I can't quite put my finger on it, but I would be extremely cautious. regards, Terence Mitchell PS In a few years, some bright uncluttered 17 year old is going to come along with an idea and make the work of MSFT obsolete and then Bill will wonder where the billions went. The reason, he won't see it coming because his course is set, he is now a meglomaniac and his success will be his eventual undoing.