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Technology Stocks : Intel Corporation (INTC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Jim McMannis who wrote (69242)	12/1/1998 12:32:00 PM
From: Tenchusatsu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 186894

<IMHO, a long term holder of Intel shouldn't be in a hurry to sell it. About March of '99 I'd start to worry a little bit. This would be right after the "proposed" Feb 28 release of the Katmai which should boost the stock.> Actually, I'm more worried about a big hole in the Intel roadmap, the one between Coppermine/Cascades and Willamette/Foster. This is yet another window of opportunity for AMD as they start to ramp up the volumes from its Dresden fab, provided that they stay on schedule. <Loss of market share to AMD is is probably a foregone conclusion but the pie gets bigger and Intel is able to hold margins.> This is probably the single most intelligent statement I have heard in weeks. Investors who are worried about AMD's affect on Intel's bottom line should read this statement over and over again. Tenchusatsu

To: Jim McMannis who wrote (69242)	12/1/1998 5:55:00 PM
From: Saturn V	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 186894

REF - AMD K-7 Infrastructure Problems and K-7s impact on Xeon The odds of reaching 200Mhz bus and full speed L2 within 12 months are pretty low. Designing systems with signals faster than 100Mhz is no cake walk. In addition neither AMD nor its Taiwanese partners have any prior expertise in this area. It is difficult enough to implement all the pieces within one company. Split that across different companies and with the communication barriers, and with each partner having its own business agenda, the odds of a quick success are very low. But without the high speed memory access, K-7 loses most of its lusture. During the next year, I do not see the K-7 taking a significant part of the server market from Xeon. 1) Servers demand high speed and large cache memory, and integer based computing . At 100Mhz Main memory and 200MHz L2 cache, K-7 has little attraction. 2) Server manufacturers are very conservative. They require extensive qualification cycles. Xeon is finally made being accepted in this gruelling segment. K-7 will only be used as a bargaining lever with Intel, and you are not going to see significant volumes. However K-7 will find a more receptive audience for Workstations.K-7 should do well on those benchmarks which are floating point intensive, and do not need large and fast cache memory.The Workstation market is less demanding than the server market in terms of qualification and reliability requirements. However if workstation software can be optimized or re-compiled for Katmai, then the K-7 will be be completely checkmated.