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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: Investor-ex! who wrote (2901)	12/4/1998 11:02:00 PM
From: TD	Read Replies (2) \| Respond to of 9818

wow, thanks, went pretty conservative 3% chance of bank failure, 5% international bank problems, think it is almost a certainity IMO, used 1% for most entires, and still showed a 35% chance for total failure. People who are not going to prepare at all, have greater faith than me.

To: Investor-ex! who wrote (2901)	12/4/1998 11:20:00 PM
From: J.L. Turner	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9818

X, Thanks for the post.Reminded me of a post by another programmer who stated that 7% of the time the process of repairing the system introduces new bugs that then must be debugged.This is one of the reasons testing is considered to consume 50% of the total project time.Using 7% straight across the variables gives a 70% chance of failure.That seems to me to indicate a best case scenario.Does that math sound about right to any of the rest of you? Jeff