To: Gunnar who wrote (305 ) 12/9/1998 5:06:00 PM From: Gunnar Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 486
" DR Congo NCN has received information from a highly reliable source that Congolese RCD rebel leaders are tiring of their war, and that some feel betrayed by the Rwandans and to some extent the Ugandans. NCN has sensed, and reported, some frustration on the part of the rebels. Indeed, the RCD leadership is not heard from as much as in the past, and when they are heard, they seem to have little of substance to say. There is some reason to believe that the RCD rebels have discovered that they are trapped between Uganda and Rwanda. NCN has reported previously that there was recently a short rift between Uganda and Rwanda, and it appears as though Uganda has taken charge of the Rebel Coalition war effort, bringing in a new rebel faction, the Jean-Pierre Bemba-led CLM, as a means to offset the rising Rwandan influence. But the CLM has also diminished the RCD's clout, and as a result, the RCD finds itself in a kind of no-man's land. NCN has been informed that the RCD, led financially and politically by former Mobutu loyalists who planned this war from base camp safe-havens in South Africa and Europe, thought they could finish off the Kabila government in a few weeks, and then get rid of the Rwandans and Ugandans right away. The strategy was to grab key city centers in the east, then swiftly move to the west to shut down the logistics and electricity flow from the Atlantic Ocean ports to Kinshasa, and then strike at Kinshasa itself, capture Kabila, and hoist a new flag over the capital city. That plan almost worked, but Zimbabwe and Angola surprised everyone, and intervened militarily to stop it. Now the RCD rebels find themselves in the unenviable position of having a Mobutu loyalist leadership stuck between Ugandan and Rwandan occupation forces, not a popular combination with the Congolese people at large. NCN has been told that several key RCD leaders are searching for a way out, the most notable manifestation of which is that they are talking less and less to the press and the public." Regards, Gunnar