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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: J.L. Turner who wrote (2945)	12/14/1998 3:12:00 PM
From: jwk	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 9818

>>>.... if those wrong estimates are from my power company I wake up with no heat. <<< if you wake up with no heat, you will likely go to bed with frozen pipes...the real snarl begins when busted, frozen pipes finally thaw. been there, done that....don't want to think about all the residual and collateral 'situations' widespread frozen pipes could lead to.

To: J.L. Turner who wrote (2945)	12/14/1998 8:54:00 PM
From: RagTimeBand	Respond to of 9818

Hi Jeff >>In a situation like y2k where many of the original forecasts were plain wrong, for whatever the reason; there is always the possibility of under estimating the scope of the endeavor.<< Which reminds me, I've seen people on a Y2K panel (on CSPAN) state that there've been academic studies which show that 85% of all software projects are either late or never completed. I have no reason to dispute this based on my own programming experience. To me this is further evidence of how hard "accurate forecasting" is. Regards - Emory