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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Arik T.G. who wrote (35625)12/23/1998 3:09:00 PM
From: Claude Cormier  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
How about this:

.... Intermediate 1- 10/90 to 1/94 t= 3 years
.... Intermediate 2- 1/94 to 12/94 t= 11 months
.... Intermediate 3- 12/94 to 7/98 t= 3 1/2 years
........... Minor 1- 12/94 to 2/96 t=14 months
........... Minor 2- 2/96 to 7/96 t= 5 months
........... Minor 3- 7/96 to 10/97 t=15 months [ I had a great difficulty with this one.
Couldn't figure out the 3-4/97 correction vs. the 8/97 correction, until I have concluded
that the 8/97 Dow top was not a MARKET top, and the 10/97 SPX top is the correct
end of this wave. This resulted in a much better internal count which follows-]
.................Minute 1 - 7/24/96 to 2/18/97 (a clear and pretty EW count inside this one)
.................Minute 2 - 2/19/97 to 4/11/97
.................Minute 3 - 4/14/97 to 8/6/97
.................Minute 4 - 8/7/97 to 8/29/98
.................Minute 5 - 8/29/97 to 7/10/97

........... Minor 4- 10/7/97 to 10/27/97 t= 1 months
........... Minor 5- 10/28/97 to 7/17/98 t= 9 months
.................Minute 1 - 10/28/97 to 12/5/97
.................Minute 2 - 12/5/97 to 1/12/98
.................Minute 3 - 1/12/98 to 7/17/98
.................Minute 4 - 7/20/98 to 10/8/98
.................Minute 5 - 10/9/98 to ????

Is it possible we are still in Intermediate 3 with minor 5 to last till spring 1999. Then we start Intermediate 4 just in time for the Y2K recession, followed by finale Intermediate 5 into 2007.



To: Arik T.G. who wrote (35625)12/23/1998 4:09:00 PM
From: Claude Cormier  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
Arik,

<< Cycle 4 t= 6 years
Primary a - 11/68 to 6/70
Primary b- 6/70 to 12/72
Primary c- 12/72 to 9/74

Cycle 5 t= 24 years, so far.
Primary 1 - 9/74 to 11/80. t= 6 years
Primary 2 - 11/80 to 7/82 t= 2 years
Primary 3 - 8/82 to 10/89 t= 7 years
>>

Also,

Can you explain why We can't have it this way:

Cycle 4 t= 6 years
Primary a - 11/68 to 6/70
Primary b- 6/70 to 12/72
Primary c- 12/72 to 8/82

Cycle 5 t= 18 years, so far.
Primary 1 - 8/82 to 1/84 t= 1.5 years
Primary 2 - 1/84 to 7/84 t= .5 years
Primary 3 - 7/84 to 8/87 t= 3 years
Primary 4 - 8/87 to 10/90 t= 3 years
Primary 5 - in progress
....Intermediate 1 - 10/90 to 10/91
....Intermediate 2 - 10/91 to 12/91
....Intermediate 3 - 12/91 to 8/97
....Intermediate 4 - 8/97 to 10/98
....Intermediate 5 - 10/98...

We would still be in Intermediate 5 but here Intermediate 4 goes on for a year or so...which I have less troubles understanding...

Still quite a lot I don't understand in this theory...as so many counts seems valid.

BTW, looks like the golds have completed their corrective flat. We should be moving on now.

CC
THE GOLDBUG's COMMENT