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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: jjs_ynot who wrote (2897)12/27/1998 12:44:00 AM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Hi Dave; Forgive me but to answer that question I would have to tweak the program more than I am up to doing at this time.

Maybe this will help. To start with if you stayed cap weighted
you re-allocated via a computer on the fly, and you
may not have lost $123.081045
As you are also playing futures and you sold enough futures
at a profit to buy $81.88 worth of stocks per Dow unit, if not
you bought them any way even on margin if you had to. <G>
----------
But
Actually you own the entire portfolio on margin, and you sell
it off when the value of futures drops below the fair value
of margin cost, vs owning the DOW on margin..(plus cost of the
trade.) You buy the futures at this time because it's cheaper to own
the DOW via the futures than it is to pay the margin,
If and when the Futures go up above fair value enough
you sell them and buy the stocks back on margin.
As you really own tons of bonds that pay more than the margin
cost and just play this game to scalp the spread, and because
you know in the long run the Dow will go up, and your so rich
that you will never have to make a margin call. You will swap
the Stocks for futures or the futures for stocks knowing full
well that over time you will be as much or more on the up side
as the down side, and it really cost you nothing to play,
any way people are just throwing money at you, so these ups
and downs just afford you more opportunities..
-------------------
You feel sorry for Jim and send him a check for a million
dollars just to say Merry Christmas..
Jim
PS the main theme is what LG said, with indexers and more indexers, the big caps get bought up more with any new money coming in,
--and I added they don't sell off as hard in down drafts,
for several reasons, one of which is TAX..