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Politics : Formerly About Applied Materials -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Fred Levine who wrote (27437)12/27/1998 8:31:00 PM
From: Fred Levine  Respond to of 70976
 
From DECEMBER 21 Barrons--

Besides MCI, Segalas has been buying semiconductor-equipment stocks like KLA-Tencor and
Applied Materials. "The semiconductor guys are starting to feel better about next year, and
when the turn comes, it's going to show up very quickly in their numbers," he says.
Semiconductor-equipment makers, like the chipmakers themselves, were hammered this past
summer in the Asian financial crisis. The manufacturers cut back on expansion plans and delayed
new equipment purchases as Asian demand for their products dried up. As that situation begins
to reverse itself, Segalas thinks, both Applied Materials and KLA have better prospects than
most people realize.

Applied's equipment allows manufacturers to make super-small chips with linewidths of 0.25
microns or smaller. The industry is in the early stages of an upgrade to this 0.25-micron
capability, and Applied Materials is the market leader. There's a similar story at KLA, which
makes yield-monitoring and process-control systems for semi manufacturers.

Segalas admits that these are fairly aggressive picks. After all, even though the stocks have been
beaten up, he's hardly buying them off their lows. And any time your analysis of these
companies depends on temporary demand for semiconductors, things can get a bit dicey.
Nevertheless, he's got the courage of his convictions. And the numbers to back them up. And he's
still crazy for managing money after all these years: "I think people that work in this business are
privileged."

fred



To: Fred Levine who wrote (27437)12/28/1998 4:05:00 AM
From: Skeeter Bug  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 70976
 
fred, hey, tito is more cautious than his analyst counterparts. oh, and he discusses fundamentals just as much ;-)

good luck on amat. w/o looking at a chart, i suspect it has done very nicely since 1994 :-)