To: Tommaso who wrote (41450 ) 12/30/1998 11:21:00 AM From: Knighty Tin Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 132070
T, The simple fact is, you have these nothing cos. going "public," while insiders still hold 51% or more of the shares. That creates a very thin float which kills short sellers. Of course, there are no short sellers on the offering, so the stock can just zoom up when the ignorati jump in at the high. That makes the paper net worth of the seven former bums who started the nothing co., fantastic. Then, when short sellers see the valuations vs. what is reality, they knoce the stocks down a bit. The public then buys stocks at "bargain" prices, perhaps only 100 times the fair value, and squeezes like crazy. One reason I am avoiding internut puts right now is that everyone knows it is a scam. I can see stories rationalizing the valuations coming out and that encourages me. Eventually, the majority will buy into these fantasies and that will be put buying time. It happened in the July selloff and it will happen again. Unitl then, they just zoom up with very small corrections. The good news is, nary a one of these cos. has a business plan that will ever achieve positive free cash flow. Ain't gonna happen. So, it is just a matter of time. BTW, somebody on CNBS mentioned RCA going to $745 as radio became the new thing in the 1920s. RCA was a very successful co. for more than half a century. But it never hit that price again. And scores of other radio cos. totally disappeared. So, we have seen a bubble like this before and it will end the same way. There will be an RCA, but I think you eventually want to buy puts on all of them and let the one or two eventual winners have their "last laugh." MB MB