To: Zardoz who wrote (25113 ) 1/1/1999 12:39:00 PM From: goldsnow Respond to of 116779
Do you think that Russians might shift some of their mega-billion illegal holdings in Zurich into the Euro denominated instruments? Euro could eventually displace dollar But for now, most Russians are still suspicious By Margaret Coker, CBS MarketWatch Last Update: 9:38 AM ET Dec 31, 1998 More on the Euro MOSCOW (CBS.MW) -- Russia made last-minute preparations Thursday for the 1999 launch of the euro, with economists predicting the new European currency could greatly boost trade with the European Union. But in Russia, where the U.S. dollar is considered king, the euro is being greeted with suspicion by some businessmen. "Maybe the euro will collapse; who knows now what will happen with the euro," said Vadim Zuikov, spokesman for major Russian importer Uniland. "For now we keep working like normal and change nothing." However, government officials believe Russia's growing reliance on the EU for goods and financial support means the euro could dislodge the dollar as the country's major hard currency. "Russia will be affected [by the euro introduction] more than other countries because of its tight economic relations with the EU countries," Central Bank Deputy chairman Oleg Mozhaiskov said in October. Some 50 percent of all Western trade is conducted with EU nations and about 40 percent of Russia's foreign debt is denominated in European currencies, according to the Finance Ministry. Currently, the dollar is used for 80 percent of all trade transactions and accounts for 90 percent of the state's reserves, according to Central Bank figures. Mozhaiskov said that the euro will give Russian businesses the burden of reassessing the terms of their hard currency contracts and their interest payments on loans with European partners. However, one economist said the potential for improved trade made the trouble worthwhile. Lev Makarevish, an expert at the Association of Russian Banks, predicted the euro will slash import costs by 30 percent to 40 percent by stimulating competition and simplifying transactions. "The fact that all payments in Europe will now be conducted in one currency will simplify the calculation of the expenses and taxation, cheapen conversion and imports," he told the Moscow Times newspaper. "The market will become more liquid, more transparent and more reliable -- which is very good for both exporters and importers," Makarevish said. Others like Uniland's Zuikov are taking a wait-and-see approach. "We think that nothing will change including the prices, at least shortly," he said. "But let us wait and see how the euro will establish itself against the dollar." The Central Bank announced it has established a code for the euro - 978 EUR - and will begin setting ruble-euro exchange rates on Jan. 1, using the euro-dollar exchange rate as its base. The Moscow Interbank Currency Exchange will begin trading the euro on Jan. 10. cbs.marketwatch.com