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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?

To: William H Huebl who wrote (36195)	1/8/1999 7:42:00 PM
From: Peter Singleton	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Bill, you said just a ways back << The SCY ratio relates earnings and dividends on the S&P500 to the 13 week coupon yields. The author of the indicator suggests anything over 1.21 is a buy and anything less than that is a sell.>> so, as near as I can tell, SCY tells us that a good buy / sell point for equities over treasuries is a 1.21x premium (am I reading this correct?). So, if current dividends and after tax earnings are selling at or below .9x of treasuries, yikes! hmmm ... aren't earnings going down, too? when those lower earnings show up in the actuals, those aren't going to affect the ratio are they? and, of course, BWDIK, Peter

To: William H Huebl who wrote (36195)	1/8/1999 7:48:00 PM
From: Terry Whitman	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Have you ever seen this risk model before: decisionpoint.com There are some other models at the Barnes web site. I'll be watching for the next spike up. TW OT- Freezing rain falling here.

To: William H Huebl who wrote (36195)	1/8/1999 9:01:00 PM
From: Haim R. Branisteanu	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

Bill have you seen how many high tech stocks reversed in an 100 point upmove?? Haim

To: William H Huebl who wrote (36195)	1/8/1999 11:58:00 PM
From: Peter Singleton	Read Replies (1) \| Respond to of 94695

[edit: oops! already posted by TW!] fyi, similar indicator ... decisionpoint.com