To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (3614 ) 1/10/1999 9:49:00 PM From: HammerHead Respond to of 99985
forward New on Dr. Ed's Econet: COMMENT: The coordinated cut in interest rates during last year's fourth quarter triggered a buying panic in world stock markets, including Asia but excluding Latin America. The melt-up is likely to continue through the end of January, despite falling commodity prices--usually a bad omen for corporate profits. For now, the extraordinary (irrational) exuberance for Internet stocks will continue to induce market players to forget about mundane issues like profits: "To infinity and beyond!" Well, at the very least, Dow 10,000 can be easily achieved in a couple days trading, a year ahead of the "10,000 by 2000" mantra that I chanted from 1995 until last summer, when I started to worry more loudly about what might go wrong. The market might soar beyond this magic level and hit infinity by mid-year, but then deflation, profits, and Y2K could bring us all back to the planet earth mighty quick. SUBSCRIBERS: In my latest Topical Study, I update my "Economic Consequences of the Peace" theme. I make the case for Dow 15,000 by 2005, but first Dow 6400 during the year's second half. I also discuss the good, the bad, and the ugly versions of deflation. In my latest Global Economic Analysis, I explain how a euro capital market is likely to create more prosperity and jobs in Euroland. PUBLIC: At the end of last year, I wrote four Y2K Reporters analyzing the third quarter SEC disclosure filings of the S&P 500 companies. I didn't get a warm, fuzzy feeling from these filings, so I still expect a Y2K recession next year. I invite you to vote on the economic impact of Y2K at yardeni.com , and compare your opinion to over 1000 others who voted since Dec 26. You may be surprised by the results. MOVIES: "The Thin Red Line" was thick and too long at three hours. "Hilary and Jackie" isn't about the first lady and a close friend, but rather two first class sisters played by two first class actresses.