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Gold/Mining/Energy : Strictly: Drilling and oil-field services -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: shust who wrote (34693)1/10/1999 4:47:00 PM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
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MARKETS



CRB/BRIDGE IX FUTR
197.72
+1.25
+0.64

Crude Oil FUTR (Feb 99)
13.02
-0.02
-0.15

Gold 100 OZ FUTR (Feb 99)
292.1
-0.4
-0.14

Silver FUTR (Mar 99)
5.29
+0.05
+0.92

Platinum FUTR (Mar 99)
N/A
N/A
N/A

Natural Gas FUTR (Feb 99)
N/A
-0.01
-0.33

Wheat FUTR(CBT) (Mar 99)
291
+3.75
+1.3

Corn FUTR (Mar 99)
221.5
+2
+0.91

Soybean FUTR (Mar 99)
554.5
+6.5
+1.19

Live Cattle FUTR (Feb 99)
62.45
+0.8
+1.3

Lean Hogs FUTR (Feb 99)
37.2
+0.48
+1.31

Friday January 08, 1999 (4:44 pm ET)

Crude Holds Gains, but Some See Retracement
Ahead

NEW YORK, Jan. 08 (Standard & Poor's Platt's) - A slightly bearish
February crude managed to settle above $13.00 Friday, but traders on the
New York Mercantile Exchange were not ruling out the possibility of a
retracement. Crude turned bearish early, dropping to a low of $12.78 on a
weaker than anticipated Brent IPE, traders said. February crude ran to
$13.25 in afternoon trade, turning bullish briefly, but then settled down 2 cts
at $13.07. No news was moving the market Friday, said traders, who
attributed the retracement to profit taking in thin volume.

Technically, crude still showed signs of health. "The trend is now up but the
near-term risk is for a minor pullback before the next round of buying," an
analyst said. He added that the next upside target was seen at $13.80/bbl.
"But a move below $12.00-11.90 aborts the recovery." The long term
fundamental outlook, however, remained bearish.

"Fundamentally, in the short term you have a market that is a little short,"
said one trader. Increased Asian demand and the Forcados shut-in are
supportive, he explained, as is the "short-term blip in PADD II" caused by
the recent six day Capline shut down. "But, it is just a window of
opportunity," he added. The market "is not really bullish long-term." Said
another trader: "I still think we are eventually going back down." Crude has
rallied straight up, he explained. "There have not been any pull backs."
While the trader did not foresee any new lows, a bit of bearish news, such
as a drastic API stock build, could turn the market around. "This thing
could easily drop down to $12.00 again," he said.

Products were mixed Friday. February heating oil settled up 32 points at
36.11 cts. "Differentials are steadier in the cash market," said one trader,
who attributed the boost to Friday's wintry weather as well. Unleaded
settled down 67 points at 38.19 cts.

Precious Metals End Mixed

Gold closed slightly lower in New York today, pressured by profit taking
after yesterday's strength. Silver opened lower, but rebounded as a strong
U.S. jobs report created confidence in continued economic growth, which
could translate into industrial demand for silver. The Clinton trial is not
expected to have much, if any, impact on precious metals, a trader said.

08-Jan-1999 16:44:07 (01681118) Copyright 1999 Standard & Poor's Investment Advisory
Services LLC. The information contained in this report may not be published, broadcast,
rewritten or otherwise distributed without prior written consent from Standard & Poor's.



To: shust who wrote (34693)1/10/1999 5:18:00 PM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
shust; LUKOY - I agree .... no greater potential or value exists.

I look at it as an ''option'' on their vastly, quite unbelievably discounted proven reserves - forget the ''business'' value - its cents on the dollar for the Oil period.

I guess the ONLY remaining risk is - that they get nationalized; but - no more risky than the expiration of a call option..

I'm not in yet; but I will be... there was a little bit of negative news on Russia this week - I'm actually waiting for another ''shoe'' to drop in Russia and then will buy on any substantial decline... this could literally be ''the" contrarian play of the 20th Century <VBG>.