To: killybegs who wrote (4473 ) 1/13/1999 9:44:00 PM From: Ed Perry Respond to of 17679
<<< they may even have profits! >>> Then Mr B. will have to come clean about this at the time of the next quarterly.<g> Now that we have the first retracement day I can get the pencils and rulers working. First observation is that all this activity began with the day of 12/11/98. If you look at a 3 month bar chart, you will see that 12/11/98 marks the first day of wave pattern trading on significantly increased volume. Trading activity prior to 12/11, was characterized by sideway bars and uniformly low volume from about 10/29 to 12/10. In this context, the WSJ article appeared approximately 12/29. In sum, whatever changed market sentiment here first manifested itself on 12/11/98 and I know not what that was. For the present huge volume rally, the first rally wave ran from 12/30 (0.81) to 12/31 (1.06). Then a simple consolidation pause for three days. The next rally wave ran from 1/7/99 (1.06) to 1/12/99 (2.50). Applying a little wave analysis here, since the prior consolidation was a simple pause, this current consolidation should be a complex pattern of numerous rallys and retracements. Finally, we should get one more rally wave proportionate to the one from 12/30 to 12/31 - here roughly .75 on top of 2.50 or a target of somewhere in the low 3.00 range. I'm not making a forecast, I am only applying some Elliott Wave Analysis. It's applicability may be relevant. AXC the stock, has certainly got much more air time recently, the WSJ, the most percentage change in volume, a full spectrum of posters on the message boards, etc. And what I find interesting in the postings is a general lack of knowledge about Ampex the corporation. It looks like AXC is in play! However, I do not know the hand being played and frankly the last place I would expect to get am inkling is from the corporate spokespeople themselves. In their position, in this context, I would be reluctant to disclose anything until after the concrete fact. Ed Perry