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Strategies & Market Trends : Are you considering quitting your dayjob to daytrade?! -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: SpongeBrain who wrote (260)1/19/1999 7:42:00 AM
From: Mike McFarland  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 611
 
With regards to scalping...what is the logic
behind this trading technique? Since you have
to depend on somebody to come in right after
you, doesn't this so severely compress the time
in which a trade occurs, that there is a risk
of amazing gaps downward. I am not sure I am
phrasing my question correctly, but a few years
ago on the PBS evening news, there was an article
about a study done on stock traders.

The study worked like this: A group of students
were promised a cash reward if they could beat
the other traders. I think the game was set up
so that it was similar to real world market
psycology--you play to win instead of playing to
not lose.

The stock was fiction, it paid a dividend as if
it were drawing oil out of a well that would
eventually dry up.

The really interesting thing was that the game
continued after the well went dry--the players
wanted to catch the last dividend, and they all
figured they could get out before all the other
folks got out. Wrong.

Of course in this test everybody knew that the
game was going to end...I suppose the folks playing
the internet stocks instead believe that these
things are good long term investments and don't
look at their stocks as merely trading vehicles,
but if everybody was using the internet stocks
as just trading vehicles, then I wonder if they are
exactly the wrong stocks for scalping.