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Strategies & Market Trends : Waiting for the big Kahuna -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: William H Huebl who wrote (36656)1/22/1999 11:08:00 PM
From: James F. Hopkins  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 94695
 
The cost of money may go up ,
biz.yahoo.com
Sometimes I don't think it's how much there is as how
much it cost.
Looking at the AGM cash track something
don't add up and it don't make sense.
Somehow in DEC cash just vanished a lot of cash vanished.

Any way the cost of short term money likely has more to do
with margins and "futures" and AGMdata don't figure that in,
yet even a small change in the cost of short term money
can create what looks to be a large cash flow..but if that
cash flow is borrowed money..it can get sucked right back
out on a rally, "real" cash flows seem to be negitive ,
and I'm afraid that last burst into equity funds, was borrowed
money..if so next week will tell us.
------------------

I closed all my positions short and long early today, and all
that work wound up with 1.05% profit on what I had at risk,
the spreads and commisions eat you up, had I added up the
numbers sooner I may have not re-shorted the spy, heck if
it goes aginst me there goes the profit.
And I mean that was a lot of work and worry, hell if you can't
bet big money it's not worth it, I was over hedged, and would
have done twice as good had I not hedged, but thought at the
time I was giving it my best shot, and had it not gone down
without that hedge I could have lost a $1000 real fast
likely before I could have unwound. I don't think
that this type of short term trading is really going to
get me any where. Two days hard work and spent a month
figuring it out. I'm going back to tracking mutual funds,
I do better with a high Beta fund if I get it on a dip,
than stock picking or any of this short term stuff.
---------------
I have a couple small postions in stocks and when I close
them I'm just going to be a buy the fund on the dip type
SOB. This aint worth the time I put in it.
Jim