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Technology Stocks : ESST-the new beginning. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Ram Seetharaman who wrote (2300)1/27/1999 5:06:00 PM
From: MulhollandDrive  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 3493
 
So what do you guys think? ESST headed for the teens or back down to $5?

bp



To: Ram Seetharaman who wrote (2300)1/27/1999 5:40:00 PM
From: Steve Reinhardt  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 3493
 
Ram,

I made a prediction back in Dec., '98.

Message 6798013

To: view (2191 )
From: Steve Reinhardt
Friday, Dec 11 1998 5:57PM ET
Reply # of 2303

I'd like to forecast ESS revenue for 4Q,1998.

I predict that ISA audio, PCI audio and modem all together
will be around ~$45 million,
while VCD/SuperVCD will generate
about ~$30 million
for 4Q,1998 revenue of ~$75 million.========
======actual $78.2 million

Gross margin is about 42%. or ~$33 million.==
=====actual 28%. OR $21.9 million
Net margin will be 10%. or ~$7.5 million=====
=====actual 6.09% or $4.768 million
EPS is between ~15 cents to ~18 cents.=======actual 12 cents

With 4Q/98 of 12 cents, I predict 1Q: 20 cents, 2Q: 8 cents,
3Q 10 cents for a $0.50 annual earning. Current P/E= $8/$.50 = 16.
With projected PE of 20 to 25, the price will move towards $10 ~$12.50.

Any comments?

Steve