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Biotech / Medical : GUMM - Eliminate the Common Cold -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Street Walker who wrote (11)1/28/1999 1:25:00 PM
From: StockMiser  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 5582
 
SW - that's a great point. Allen Gunn's 12 month target is $24 NOT counting the Zicam product, which could easily outsell all of Gumtech's products combined.

That certainly reduces risk here. If GUMM never sold a single package of Zicam, it's still at 1/2 the price target.

Also very nice knowing that the product is fully developed (not some vaporware hype), and is actually already in test markets.



To: Street Walker who wrote (11)1/28/1999 3:11:00 PM
From: Bo Didley  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 5582
 
$4.60 Gross /unit of ZICAM
by: CapnJon7737 1676 of 1680

I have a retail price on Zicam at $12.95 a unit. ( I had to bribe my grocer at Albertsons w/ a hot stock tip, to get this info, hmmmm). Even at that the numbers I am giving are not cast in stone.

The usual mark up on such items is around 80%, 0r a 40% margin; that would give 60% back to Gumm which owms a 60% share in the
product. This gives a rough number of $4.66 per unit devolving back to Gumm. Why I took .06 off was to please the shorters....
===

my thoughts:
If Zicam treats 1% or 2% of the 1 Billion Colds in the US
this year alone, this stock will be worth a lot of money.

The growth potential for the cold market is phenomenal,
particularly if you have the only product that will reduce
a cold to 1 1/2 days, rather than enduring a cold for 14 days.

bo

ps: there are no new shorters in this stock because shares
are not borrowable. There are a few very long term shorters
who are at yahoo mgs board. They will soon get a big margin call.