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Strategies & Market Trends : MDA - Market Direction Analysis -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Daniel Joo who wrote (4980)1/30/1999 3:16:00 AM
From: Kona  Respond to of 99985
 
Daniel, you make a good point about boomer desperation at the end of your post. I saw a graph that correlated the number of 46 year olds in the population with the performance of the market. Unfortunately I've never been able to find it again! Anyway the end of the baby boom was in the early sixties so the mid part of the next decade should be about the time when the major trend ends.

Don't run for president in 2008!



To: Daniel Joo who wrote (4980)1/30/1999 9:21:00 AM
From: donald sew  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 99985
 
Daniel,

>>>>>> IMO, at current valuations, money flow becomes more important. Last week, we saw an inflow of $6.1 billion into equity funds. Stock market appears to be impacted the following week. As we all know, the exchanges are just an auction house ruled by demand and supply. <<<<<

A very good logical comment. With this weeks inflow reduce to the 1 billion range, such will not help the market head up strong.

We hear over and over of how much money is on the sideline, which I agree, but the question is when will it come in. Just to say that the market will head up strong because there is money on the sideline - well, lets just say that it has to come in first to buy the stocks. ggggggggggggggg. So I would like to hear logical comments as to when and why the sideline money is coming in, not just hear that there is money on the sideline - we all know that.

So for those who say there is plenty of money on the sidelines, I feel thats like saying that the "sky is blue".

Im really not trying to make a case on this issue that the market will dump hard. The issue Im trying to make is lack of logic in saying there is money on the sidelines, without specifying when/why it will come into the market. Until I hear an objective support with details, I will just consider such as someones
gut feeling. Sooner or later it will be true that the money on the sidelines will come in.

I will put the comment of "money on the sidelines"(without supporting a time frame) in the same category as "the market will go up or down or flat".

Seeya



To: Daniel Joo who wrote (4980)1/30/1999 12:47:00 PM
From: Mike M2  Respond to of 99985
 
Dan, note that bank credit grew at a 20% annual rate in 4Q98. This is not sustainable prudentopinion.com Mike