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Technology Stocks : VALENCE TECHNOLOGY (VLNC) -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: hcirteg who wrote (7731)1/31/1999 12:30:00 AM
From: Jay Lowe  Read Replies (5) | Respond to of 27311
 
Valence Opt Case
%LiP in 2000 60%
VLNC Max Market Share 33%

Laptops Section 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Laptops (M) 12 15 19 23 29 37 46 57
% employing LiP 20% 60% 60% 50% 40% 30% 10%
LiP Laptops (M) 3 11 14 15 15 14 6
LiP Add-on Packs (M) 2 6 7 7 7 7 3
Laptop LiP Batts (M) 5 63 99 107 107 94 16

Laptop Batt Price $75 $75 $75 $75 $75 $75 $75 $75
Margin 33% 25% 20% 18% 16% 14% 12%
Laptop Batt Unit Profit $25 $19 $15 $14 $12 $11 $9

Laptop Profit (M$) $ 111 $1,187 $1,483 $1,448 $1,287 $ 990 $ 147
VLNC Market Share 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20% 20%
VLNC Profit (M$) $ 22 $ 237 $ 297 $ 290 $ 257 $ 198 $ 29

Phone/PDA Section 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Phone/PDAs (M) 120 150 188 234 293 366 458 572
% employing LiP 20% 60% 60% 50% 40% 30% 10%
LiP Devices (M) 30 113 141 146 146 137 57
LiP Add-on Packs (M) 15 56 70 73 73 69 29
Phone LiP Batts (M) 45 169 211 220 220 206 86

Phone Batt Price $15 $15 $15 $15 $15 $15 $15 $15
Margin 25% 24% 23% 22% 21% 20% 19%
Phone Batt Profit $4 $4 $3 $3 $3 $3 $3

Phone Profit (M$) $ 169 $ 608 $ 728 $ 725 $ 692 $ 618 $ 245
VLNC Market Share 33% 25% 20% 18% 16% 14% 12%
VLNC Profit (M$) $ 56 $ 152 $ 146 $ 131 $ 111 $ 87 $ 29

Totals Section
Total VLNC Profit $78 $389 $442 $420 $368 $285 $59
VLNC Shares (M) 40 50 60 60 60 60 60
VLNC Profit/Share $1.95 $7.78 $7.37 $7.00 $6.14 $4.74 $0.98

VLNC Share Price @ PE 20 $39 $156 $147 $140 $123 $95 $20



To: hcirteg who wrote (7731)1/31/1999 10:41:00 AM
From: John Curtis  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 27311
 
HC: I agree with your strategy. Speculative portfolio diversity within a market sector is a prudent idea. ;-)

As for VLNC....well.....another week has gone by without p.o.'s. So January is gone and those who thought it would be the month for announcements guessed wrong. So what'daya think about Feb.??

John~