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Technology Stocks : Dell Technologies Inc. -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Mark Peterson CPA who wrote (98255)2/12/1999 5:15:00 PM
From: David Harker  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 176387
 
>If you don't buy when there's blood in the streets,
>you're a momentum player and are probably over-paying for your Dell.

I agree, upped my position by 25% more shares today, at $91.
A gift..



To: Mark Peterson CPA who wrote (98255)2/12/1999 5:26:00 PM
From: Frank Ellis Morris  Respond to of 176387
 
Very nice post. I put my stake in the sand and said long ago that this is hallowed grown. I believe in your philosophy and this would be good for most

Best Wishes
Frank



To: Mark Peterson CPA who wrote (98255)2/12/1999 5:35:00 PM
From: Andy  Read Replies (3) | Respond to of 176387
 
Mark,
I did my part... Bought 300 at 93.5 with all the cash
in my account. My friends said I had stainless steel
cajo....as', but I believe....in Mikey, Kemble, Mohan and all
this information I read right here everyday.
Even longer on DELL,
Andy Richter



To: Mark Peterson CPA who wrote (98255)2/12/1999 6:06:00 PM
From: Paul Merriwether  Read Replies (7) | Respond to of 176387
 
Mark
Let me pose a question to you(esp. since you are a CPA). Assume that you had $100,000 in funds that you could invest for the long term(say 10 years). Assume zero inflation.
If you were to put this money in a riskless environment, say a CD, at the end of 10 years you would have:
100000*(1.05)^10 = 162889.46
To compare it to your investment decision you put your $100000 into Dell computers. You would be able to buy 1110 shares(at this "beaten down to the ground" price of $90). Now take the most optimistic assumption of Dell bottom line earnings growing, sequentially year after year @50% for the next 10 years.
You would make:
100000+1110(.93+.93*1.5+.93*2.25+....)=159527.61
Wouldn't you be better off holding your money in a CD if you had a 10 year time frame? As I see it, you would be better off by about $2800! And this is for LONG term investing! If you had a shorter time frame, you would be MUCH worse off holding Dell.

I realize that Dell does not disburse its income as "dividends". In fact they do stock buybacks instead, which prevents taxable income to the shareholders(and its a perfectly legitimate way of rewarding their investors). However, the $$$s required for the buyback ulitmately come from theri earnigns which are capped by the amount above.

I would love to argue with anyone challenging my generous assumption of a 50% sequential qrowth rate FOR THE NEXT 10 YEARS!
Also, am discounting all effects of momentum traders. My guess is that such effects will be "averaged out" over a 10 year period. (GOD I HOPE SO!!!).

Given all this, why would you "draw a line in the sand"?

ps: may not be able to respond to your rebuttal for a couple days. Gotta celebrate Clinton's acquittal on prez. day! ;)