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To: peter n matzke who wrote (15665)2/17/1999 12:02:00 PM
From: Tom Trader  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 44573
 
Well, you presently have the hot hand on SI, at least among those that I follow

What do you base your turn point times on??

Anything that you can share??

Also, do you have any thoughts on what will happen when it comes to expiration on the OEX on Friday -- strong or weak?? I have some OTM calls on the OEX --strike 630-- that I bought as a protective measure on straddles that I sold earlier. I am wondering if it would make sense to close them out and take my money -- would work out well as long as it does not settle over 630 upon expiration.



To: peter n matzke who wrote (15665)2/17/1999 12:56:00 PM
From: Bull RidaH  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 44573
 
Peter,

The 12:25 turn was right on the money, and the 10:30 turn wasn't too shabby either. With that being the last turn of the day, and the turn was down, it seems as though one would hold short until that 12:25 peak was taken out. If not taken out, it could be a lucrative short between here and the close. Do you agree?

Today (Wednesday) is the due date for the 16 day cycle low i've been talking about. If today's NYSE low is taken out anytime between now and next Friday, it would generate an "inverse cycle" sell signal. Otherwise, a buy between here and the close looks good into expiration.

Wave counts for me are treacherous right now. If this sell off from 12:25pm proceeds, my best guess would be that we're in wave 3 of 5 down that began from yesterday's 11:30am EST peak. wave 2 of 5 took us up near this point today (1250.13spx) in a near 100% retracement.

If 1250.13 spx gives way, i'll have to retool to a much more bullish short term count.

Regards,

David