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To: Glenn D. Rudolph who wrote (43558)3/2/1999 11:00:00 PM
From: larry oertel  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 164684
 
Beware of 3Com Fallout
By James J. Cramer

3/2/99 9:55 PM ET

thestreet.com

Yogi would have been thrilled about Tuesday night's 3Com (COMS:Nasdaq) call. It was a virtual picnic basket for the bears.

Enterprise? Slowing. Personal computers? Slowing. Corporate spending? Dwindling. Latin America? Awful. Jellystone National Park never had it so good. Not a ranger in sight.

Of course, the collateral fallout from this bear bonanza will rock pretty much all aspects of tech, as 3Com has enough communications business to thwart any sort of telco-as-pillar-of-strength business. And the gloom was so palpably honest that it is hard to resist blaming 3Com for 3Com.

Sure, maybe this will be it, the crescendo of selling that we need to get tech to a level where bears have had their fill. But I don't think so. Too many loose ends. Looks like a ton of $800 personal computers are getting sold, but nobody's making a dime off them.

How do you play it? Again I come back to bonds, beer, bread and bath. I want those boring consumer plays that never go out of style and I want bonds, which, judging by the magnitude of the slowdown in the chief engine of the economy -- computer spending -- as outlined by 3Com, make too much sense here.

I know that's a recipe for boring investing -- and possibly boring articles. But if you want excitement, go to the movies.

It is capital preservation time, and will remain that way until somebody can confirm that things have started to get better in personal computers. Where I am sitting, all I can say is: Don't hold your breath.