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To: Wallace Rivers who wrote (38736)3/3/1999 7:25:00 AM
From: SliderOnTheBlack  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Lowest US production since 1950 ...hmmmm

....imho; statistics like this; irregardless of being good, or bad; bullish, or bearish - lead to dramatic swings and rubberband snap backs. In a cyclical market; one can not reach the historic limit at either the high end, or the low end - (a ''Bollinger Band'' type of effect if you will) without guaranteeing that the other extreme will soon be seen...

Energy News
Wed, 3 Mar 1999, 7:16am EST

Crude Oil Rises in London as U.S. Inventories Post Unexpected Decline

Crude Oil Rises as U.S. Inventories Post Unexpected Decline

London, March 3 (Bloomberg) -- Crude oil rose for a second
day, gaining more than 1 percent, after U.S. oil supplies
unexpectedly fell by 1.8 percent, cut by higher refinery demand
and U.S. output among the lowest levels in decades.

Oil inventories, as reported by the American Petroleum
Institute, fell by 5.9 million to 326.8 million barrels in the
week ended Feb. 26. The decline left supplies little changed
from a year ago, when prices were almost 30 percent higher. Even
so, a U.S. Department of Energy report later today could
contradict the industry-funded API, traders said.
''The APIs surprised the market, and oil (prices) will move
on them,'' said Leslie Nicholas, an analyst for GNI Ltd. But
''I'm a bit suspicious of the APIs and I will be waiting for the
DOEs before drawing any strong conclusions.''

Brent crude oil for April delivery rose as much as 13
cents, or 1.2 percent, to $11.13 a barrel on the International
Petroleum Exchange in London. April crude on the New York
Mercantile Exchange rose as much as 19 cents to $12.70 a barrel
in electronic trading.

The API could revise this week's survey, just as it did the
results from a week ago, traders said. The API said crude oil
inventories as of Feb. 19 were 332.7 million barrels, rather
than the 334.1 million reported earlier.

Further limiting gains, about half of the decline in oil
supplies occurred west of the Rocky Mountains, a region that is
often discounted because it's not connected to the rest of the
nation by pipeline.

The majority of analysts polled by Bloomberg had predicted
an increase in inventories, with forecasts calling for a rise of
as much as 1.1 million barrels.

Refinery utilization unexpectedly rose to 94.5 percent from
94.1 percent in last week's report, API said. U.S. oil output in
January was the lowest since 1950, the DOE reported.