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Strategies & Market Trends : LastShadow's Position Trading -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: TonyM who wrote (9604)3/4/1999 9:48:00 AM
From: LastShadow  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 43080
 
Winners resolve themselves over a large range of times. Losers are obvious almost immediately.

The % winners is very important for funds and longer term plays. Its not terribly important for short term IF you use an effective stop loss strategy (otherwise its disastrous). There is a large misconception that short term trading is more profitable than Position plays. It isn't for 95% of the people for a couple of reasons:

1) most tend to lose sight of larger market and specific sector and stock movements, and

2) they play with less capital on short moves.

Making 15% on a 100 share buy of a $50 stock over a short period is $750. Making 15% on a $50k account in a month is $7500. The former you have to do 120 times a year against the latter's 12 times a year.

Which do you think is more likely?

Buy and hold mentality for funds is not as profitable as periodic movment to money markets during downturns. Buy and hold for stocks with more reasonable trailing stops is much more profitable. The recaps I've posted of stock price movements since last Oct 8, or Jan 1 , or any mid term time frame shows that.

lastshadow