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Technology Stocks : Newbridge Networks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Doug who wrote (10014)3/4/1999 9:42:00 PM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (4) | Respond to of 18016
 
Doug, doug, doug,

Where, oh where do you come up with your bizarre impressions and inability to do simple math?

b: Internal growth which at best can be 20%/yr for a large Company.

20%!!! Where is that law written? Or are CSCO, DELL, IBM, MSFT, ... and many other large cap, high tech stocks all committing a felony?

Next lesson in math is the rule of 72: i.e. to double in 3 years, one needs about 72 / 3 or 24%CAGR.

e.g. Yr 0 = 1.
Yr 1 = 1.24
Yr 2 = 1.5376
Yr 3 = 1.91 or less than 10% from a double.

We would actually need a 26% CAGR to double in precisely 3 years which happens to be somewhat less than the 30-50%CAGR achieved and forecasted for leaders in this sector.

Now if you want to make an argument that NN is not and will not be a leader, that's completely different.

But your math could be substantially improved.

Ian.