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Technology Stocks : Newbridge Networks -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Chris Stovin who wrote (10070)3/5/1999 4:54:00 PM
From: Ian@SI  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 18016
 
From a Merrill report the day before the conference call with Alan Lutz... Note this is talking about the industry, not any one particular company.

Investment Highlights:

n Revenues:

...

· ATM WAN switch revenues increased by 19% sequentially and 52% year-over- year to $561 million. This represents a substantial improvement from the flat sequential and 42% year-over-year growth in the September quarter.


n Unit Shipments:
...

· ATM WAN shipments increased by 18% sequentially and 53% year-over-year to 83,000 ports.


n Pricing Trends:
...

· In the ATM WAN market, pricing remained stable. ASPs were relatively
flat sequentially and year-over-year at $6,775 per port. This is the third consecutive quarter where pricing has changed by +/- 1%.


Market size is estimated to grow to $2.5B from $1.9B 1999 over 1998.
NN was estimated to have an 18% share of that market. In the conference call, Alan indicated that he strongly believes that NN is increasing its share from the 21-22% that it had held in prior quarters.

This would strongly imply that the Street is significantly underestimating NN's revenues for 1999.