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To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (39061)3/5/1999 10:05:00 PM
From: Crimson Ghost  Respond to of 95453
 
Slider:

I remain very optimistic medium and long-term, cautiously optimisitic short term. You have persuaded that the fundamentals indeed are falling into place for significantly higher oil prices. Nobody is happier than me that my expectation of a final severe shakeout did not come to pass. But the upcoming OPEC meet will have a big impact on the pace of improvement and one can never be certain what they will do, though my best judgement is a modest cut. And the OSX will have great difficulty mounting a SUSTAINED rally as long as the Street continues to cut earnings estimates.

I have a decent postion in FSESX and will add to it on dips. But I am focusing on general energy funds right now as I feel more confident in their near term risk'reward ratios. Higher oil and gas prices boost their profits immediately, but impact OSX earnings only with a considerable and uncertain lag. Of course the ultimate OSX upside is much greater given its huge leverage.



To: SliderOnTheBlack who wrote (39061)3/6/1999 1:27:00 AM
From: Dwight E. Karlsen  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Cramer might be just mad because he covered his RDC short at like $18-19. With RDC bouncing around for ages now between $8-11, he obviously covered wayyyy too soon. So I would expect him to stay ultra-bearish on the OSX for longer than is prudent.