To: SlateColt who wrote (5874 ) 3/7/1999 8:26:00 PM From: REM55 Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 11417
Regarding the valuation of WAVX: Dear SlateColt and others: I think you are wise to somewhat temper the enthusiasm of some of our most enthusiastic shareholders. I do believe it is a matter of degree and speculation , but all of us believe in this company or we wouldn't be investing in it. It is anyone's guess how quickly deployment will take place and how frequently those who have the EMBASSY will use it. IMO we are in the 1st or at most the 2nd inning of this ball game. What this company is worth at this early stage is almost impossible to determine. Turning to my investment library, I am reminded of what Warren Buffett once said about valuing an investment.... "When we buy common stocks (Charlie Munger, his partner).....we approach the transaction as if we were buying into a private business. We look at the economic prospects of the business, the people in charge of running it, and the price we must pay. We do not have in mind any time or price for sale. Indeed, we are willing to hold a stock indefinitely so long as we expect the business to increase in intrinsic value at a satisfactory rate. When investing, we view ourselves as business analysts--not as market analysts, not as macroeconomic analysts and not even as security analysts." (1). Economic prospects--All of us would agree the economic prospects of this company are tremendous (2). The people running this company are IMO exceptional. (3). The price at this stage is certainly reasonable (accepting the belief that we will get financing and deploy). (4). No time or price for sale, and hold indefinitely---This an area where we need more patience. I think SlateColt is right, we expect far too much too quickly. However, if we have some patience, who cares whether the stock is at $30 or $50 at year end or $100 or $500 by 2002. If we hang on and management is successful the price of the stock will go up significantly. Best wishes, Ron