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To: James Cherney who wrote (39253)3/8/1999 12:19:00 PM
From: Platter  Respond to of 95453
 
NEW YORK, March 8 (Reuters) - Shares of large and small oil companies rose on Monday after talks over the weekend between Saudi Arabia and Iran lead to speculation that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries may strike a deal to cut output at its March 23 meeting.

By 1140 EST, the West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures contract for April delivery was trading $0.40 higher at $13.70 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, off its intraday high of $14.03 a barrel.

Oil shares were also strong, with the exploration and production sector, which is most exposed to oil price rises and declines, showing the biggest gains.

The Standard & Poor's Oil & Gas Index <.SPOILP>, which tracks the performance of independent oil and natural gas producers with large market capitalizations, was up 4.21 percent on Monday to 47.13.

Gains among the bigger integrated stocks were more muted after they posted strong rises last week, with the Standard & Poor's Oil International Index <.SPOILI> up 1.07 percent at 819.72.

However, analysts cautioned that those who believe the rise in oil prices and shares of major oil companies may reflect a permanent return to higher values were mistaken.

"I learned long ago not to allow stock price moves to dictate my investment conclusions," said Deutsche Bank Securities analyst Michael Young.

Exxon Corp. <XON.N> shares rose 1 to 70-11/16, Mobil Corp. <MOB.N> was up 1-1/8 to 88-3/4, Chevron Corp. <CHV.N> gained 1/2 to 81-13/16, and Texaco Inc. <TX.N> added 3/16 to 50-7/8, all in composite New York Stock Exchange trading.

Since plunging to the lowest levels in 12 years in 1998, oil prices have remained mired in a weak trading range in the first quarter of 1999.

The prospect that Saudi Arabia and Iran could approve a new base level for measuring Iranian output has led some comentators to believe that OPEC could succeed in adding to its current 2.6 million barrels per day of output cuts when it meets in late March.

However, those hopes were given a sharp blow almost as soon as they were out of analysts' mouths after Venezuelan Oil Minister Ali Rodriguez told union members at the state oil company that Venezuela would not accept any more cuts in oil output at OPEC's March 23 meeting.

Venezuela was OPEC's third-largest producer in February.

"There had been a lot of short covering going into OPEC, both on the commodity and in the stocks, and I can understand the traders' reluctance to be short going in to March 23, but it is a classic dead cat bounce," said Young.

Young said the supply and demand fundamentals of oil have not changed, adding that talk of a sharp rise in U.S. gasoline prices is massively overdone as inventories are still way above normal levels.






To: James Cherney who wrote (39253)3/8/1999 12:20:00 PM
From: Platter  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 95453
 
Its the unions, not the Gov't.......LONDON, March 8 (Reuters) - Oil prices were spurred to an eight-week high on Monday as talks between OPEC heavyweights Saudi Arabia and Iran reignited hopes that the cartel might reach a consensus on more oil output cuts. But comments from officials of the main oil union in Venezuela undercut the rally which at one point added 58 cents a barrel to lowly prices. A top official of the country's main oil union Fedepetrol said Oil Minister Ali Rodriguez had promised he would not accept more production cuts at an OPEC meeting later in March. "Venezuela will not accept more cuts. It will comply with what is already proposed, but it will not accept new cuts. That's what he said," said Fedepetrol's Bladimiro Blanco after a meeting with Rodriguez. Brent lost some of its gains to stand 36 cents higher at $11.92 a barrel by 1646 GMT but dealers said they would continue to hedge against the possibility of new curbs on supply. Prices had opened higher on Monday in the wake of a meeting on Sunday in Riyadh between Saudi Arabian Oil Minister Ali al-Naimi and his Iranian counterpart Bijan Zanganeh. The discussions were the latest in a series of contacts between Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries producers and came just two weeks before the group meets in Vienna to decide output policy. Iran and Saudi Arabia have been trying to resolve a dispute over the issue of how to measure the baseline for Iranian output cuts, agreed last year under a 2.6 million barrel a day OPEC supply reduction. The issue has blocked progress toward the further cuts OPEC members already agree are necessary to lift oil prices from last year's 22-year lows. Naimi and Zanganeh met hot on the heels of talks in Riyadh last week between Iran's Foreign Minister Kamal Kharrazi and Saudi leaders. Iranian President Mohammad Khatami described the negotiations as "positive" and Saudi Crown Prince Abdullah pointed to unspecified "agreements" between the two sides. "I think from an historic point of view a fair amount of diplomatic prepositioning involving heads of state before an OPEC meeting is meaningful," said Peter Gignoux of Salomon Smith Barney. "It's another OPEC cliffhanger." However, it remained unclear whether the troublesome Iranian baseline dispute had finally been put to bed at Sunday's meeting. "We made progress on a number of issues," was all a Gulf source familiar with Saudi policy would say. Traders will now be watching the visit of Foreign Minister Kamal Kharazzi to fellow OPEC producer Venezuela in a week's time. Gulf Arab oil ministers may also meet on Wednesday to prepare for the March 23 OPEC gathering. Analysts have said that the oil group needs to slice at least another million barrels per day (bpd) on top of existing cuts. Non-OPEC producers like Mexico and Norway are likely to be asked to chip in again. Oil prices at about $11 a barrel on average so far this year are running even lower than last year's $13.30, itself a six dollar decline from prices in 1997. Prices in dollars per barrel: Mar 8 Mar 5 (1646 GMT) (close) IPE April Brent $11.92 $11.56 NYMEX April light crude $13.72 $13.30






To: James Cherney who wrote (39253)3/8/1999 12:23:00 PM
From: Platter  Respond to of 95453
 
CL'J - Transaction Log
12:19:40 13.80
12:19:20 13.80
12:19:11 13.79
12:19:10 13.78
12:18:59 13.78
12:18:56 13.79
12:18:44 13.79
12:18:40 13.80
12:18:39 13.79
12:18:16 13.78
12:18:04 13.78
12:18:01 13.78
12:17:56 13.77
12:17:47 13.78
12:17:41 L 13.41
12:17:41 H 14.03
12:17:41 T 13.77
12:17:28 13.77
12:17:25 13.77
12:17:18 13.79

OSX - Transaction Log
12:20:11 X 56.26 +2.58
12:19:56 X 56.27 +2.59
12:19:44 X 56.25 +2.57
12:19:29 X 56.25 +2.57
12:19:17 X 56.23 +2.55
12:19:03 X 56.24 +2.56
12:18:46 X 56.23 +2.55
12:18:29 X 56.24 +2.56
12:18:17 X 56.24 +2.56
12:18:01 X 56.23 +2.55
12:17:45 X 56.23 +2.55
12:17:32 X 56.23 +2.55
12:17:16 X 56.23 +2.55
12:16:57 X 56.23 +2.55
12:16:41 X 56.23 +2.55
12:16:28 X 56.25 +2.57
12:16:11 X 56.24 +2.56
12:15:59 X 56.24 +2.56
12:15:50 X 56.23 +2.55
12:15:29 X 56.21 +2.53
12:15:16 X 56.16 +2.48



To: James Cherney who wrote (39253)3/8/1999 12:30:00 PM
From: Platter  Respond to of 95453
 
CL'J - Transaction Log
12:24:41 13.83
12:24:41 13.82
12:24:41 13.83
12:24:38 13.81
12:24:31 13.82
12:24:06 13.82
12:23:15 13.82
12:23:13 13.80
12:22:48 13.82
12:22:40 13.81
12:21:52 13.83
12:21:31 13.82
12:21:20 13.82
12:21:17 13.82
12:21:09 13.82
12:21:04 13.81
12:20:28 13.80
12:20:28 13.80
12:20:17 13.80
12:20:16 13.80

OSX - Transaction Log
12:27:12 X 56.19 +2.51
12:27:01 X 56.19 +2.51
12:26:41 X 56.20 +2.52
12:26:34 X 56.19 +2.51
12:26:10 X 56.21 +2.53
12:26:02 X 56.21 +2.53
12:25:44 X 56.21 +2.53
12:25:32 X 56.21 +2.53
12:25:17 X 56.20 +2.52
12:25:04 X 56.21 +2.53
12:24:48 X 56.21 +2.53
12:24:30 X 56.21 +2.53
12:24:11 X 56.24 +2.56
12:24:01 X 56.24 +2.56
12:23:41 X 56.24 +2.56
12:23:33 X 56.25 +2.57
12:23:17 X 56.25 +2.57
12:23:02 X 56.24 +2.56
12:22:40 X 56.22 +2.54
12:22:28 X 56.19 +2.51



To: James Cherney who wrote (39253)3/8/1999 12:34:00 PM
From: Platter  Respond to of 95453
 
Oil price history on cl'j contract up to 10/2/98::::

CL'J close high low vol
3/05/99 13.30 13.50 13.26 104796
3/04/99 13.35 13.50 12.78 104796
3/03/99 12.93 12.99 12.54 48377
3/02/99 12.51 12.55 12.18 1956
3/01/99 12.24 12.55 12.18 43553
2/26/99 12.27 12.73 12.24 64878
2/25/99 12.68 12.80 12.41 67581
2/24/99 12.61 12.74 12.26 65511
2/23/99 12.48 12.57 12.12 82882
2/22/99 12.07 12.18 11.86 53321
2/19/99 11.90 12.19 11.88 56625
2/18/99 12.17 12.33 11.53 69434
2/17/99 11.63 11.74 11.34 43187
2/16/99 11.48 12.03 11.46 53278
2/12/99 11.96 12.12 11.95 26772
2/11/99 11.93 12.04 11.80 47773
2/10/99 11.87 12.05 11.76 32600
2/09/99 11.82 11.90 11.70 26856
2/08/99 11.82 12.08 11.74 30318
2/05/99 11.95 12.24 11.85 40016
2/04/99 12.18 12.53 12.15 25304

CL'J close high low vol
2/03/99 12.49 12.78 12.25 20624
2/02/99 12.41 12.45 12.25 20624
2/01/99 12.46 12.95 12.43 19655
1/29/99 12.79 12.82 12.44 17464
1/28/99 12.49 12.51 12.28 12458
1/27/99 12.37 12.48 12.37 19085
1/26/99 12.10 12.51 12.04 19643
1/25/99 12.45 12.71 12.39 11820
1/22/99 12.67 12.79 12.20 23441
1/21/99 12.47 12.55 11.98 13157
1/20/99 11.98 12.29 11.95 13157
1/19/99 12.28 12.63 12.25 11190
1/15/99 12.30 12.48 12.25 6647
1/14/99 12.32 12.67 12.27 13393
1/13/99 12.48 13.04 12.33 18304
1/12/99 13.03 13.44 13.00 14346
1/11/99 13.48 13.48 13.42 7498
1/08/99 13.17 13.29 12.96 12388
1/07/99 13.22 13.29 12.75 15139
1/06/99 13.00 13.04 12.98 0
1/05/99 12.31 12.72 12.29 11249
CL'J close high low vol
1/04/99 12.63 12.67 12.49 2992
12/31/98 12.40 12.46 12.15 5121
12/30/98 12.15 12.18 11.93 122
12/29/98 12.12 12.15 11.88 2047
12/28/98 11.92 11.96 11.76 1354
12/24/98 11.73 11.85 11.72 1354
12/23/98 11.81 11.97 11.78 5457
12/22/98 11.69 11.78 11.61 5374
12/21/98 11.61 11.90 11.35 5918
12/18/98 11.84 12.09 11.75 3150
12/17/98 11.93 13.38 11.85 5100
12/16/98 13.19 13.37 12.55 7896
12/15/98 12.51 12.58 12.32 6623
12/14/98 12.37 12.38 12.05 4232
12/11/98 12.01 12.15 11.88 4769
12/10/98 11.92 12.15 11.88 1308
12/09/98 12.22 12.42 12.18 1308
12/08/98 12.29 12.68 12.29 5852
12/07/98 12.45 12.45 12.08 3676
12/04/98 12.24 12.38 12.24 1636
12/03/98 12.29 12.65 12.29 5494
CL'J close high low vol
12/02/98 12.39 12.51 12.26 2378
12/01/98 12.38 12.65 12.38 4716
11/30/98 12.53 12.94 12.30 5341
11/25/98 13.02 13.42 12.85 1134
11/24/98 13.18 13.64 13.15 1713
11/23/98 13.54 14.08 13.54 4743
11/20/98 13.96 13.97 13.70 3099
11/19/98 13.78 13.91 13.73 4740
11/18/98 13.75 13.91 13.49 4690
11/17/98 13.66 13.97 13.66 3698
11/16/98 13.89 14.36 13.89 5804
11/13/98 14.35 14.87 14.35 4467
11/12/98 14.66 14.70 14.46 1773
11/11/98 14.40 14.55 14.40 1591
11/10/98 14.38 14.40 14.26 1009
11/09/98 14.43 14.55 14.15 431
11/06/98 14.66 14.72 14.63 766
11/05/98 14.70 14.80 14.70 1583
11/04/98 14.84 14.87 14.76 2801
11/03/98 14.91 14.91 14.85 434
11/02/98 15.00 15.16 14.95 261
CL'J close high low vol
10/30/98 15.12 15.15 14.72 2546
10/29/98 14.92 14.93 14.87 1399
10/28/98 14.94 14.94 14.69 1473
10/27/98 14.75 15.11 14.75 1176
10/26/98 14.85 15.04 14.82 4740
10/23/98 14.74 14.81 14.73 479
10/22/98 14.69 14.80 14.69 1431
10/21/98 14.81 14.95 14.50 3592
10/20/98 14.40 14.50 14.25 2892
10/19/98 14.36 14.67 14.36 949
10/16/98 15.10 15.16 15.06 364
10/15/98 15.03 15.05 14.95 1370
10/14/98 15.00 15.22 15.00 361
10/13/98 15.15 15.42 15.15 572
10/12/98 15.32 15.51 15.30 1318
10/09/98 15.44 15.44 15.15 891
10/08/98 15.31 16.08 15.31 137
10/07/98 15.82 16.08 15.82 1817
10/06/98 16.12 16.12 15.90 1091
10/05/98 16.03 16.03 15.89 396
10/02/98 16.17 16.17 15.85 444



To: James Cherney who wrote (39253)3/8/1999 1:42:00 PM
From: Gary Burton  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 95453
 
Interesting--maybe that's why Iran is going to Ven Mar 17?