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To: Paul Engel who wrote (75994)3/10/1999 8:08:00 AM
From: Kealoha  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul: Transmeta????? what's the story????
Intel outside

By Owen Thomas
Red Herring Online
March 8, 1999

At least Intel (INTC) didn't have to go inside a federal
courtroom.

The surprise announcement
Monday morning of a proposed
settlement with the Federal Trade
Commission in the antitrust suit
brought against Intel is one spot of
good news for the giant chip
maker.

"The FTC brief was a good,
strong outline of an interesting
story," says Rich Gray, a partner at the San Jose law
firm of Bergeson, Eliopoulos, Grady & Gray. "The Intel
brief put meat on all the bones."

The Intel brief cited writings of economics professor
Frederic Scherer, a government witness, in countering
the FTC's arguments.

"When you can use the other side's expert against them,
that says something about your case," says Mr. Gray.

GROWING COMPETITION
Assuming FTC commissioners approve the settlement,
Intel still faces a host of challenges, however.

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and National
Semiconductor's (NSM) Cyrix division have been
gaining market share in consumer offerings. In the
consumer market, PCs with AMD chips recently
outsold PCs with Intel inside for the first time.

AMD's announcement of its market share gains came
shortly before the FTC and Intel announced the
settlement; later Monday, however, AMD announced
that it would not meet Wall Street's expectations and
would lay off 300 employees.

"The timing couldn't be any better for Intel," says Dan
Niles, an analyst at BancBoston Robertson Stephens.

WHAT PRICE SPEED?
Intel's new Pentium III chip was met largely with yawns
-- and a few loud boos. At a launch event, Intel CEO
Craig Barrett acknowledged that people using PCs for
productivity applications would see no real performance
gains from the Pentium III; instead, he touted its superior
graphics power for games.

A controversial new feature, a unique ID in each
Pentium III chip that can be tracked over the Internet,
raised a storm of protest from consumer privacy
advocates. The American Civil Liberties Union recently
joined a coalition of groups that aims to have Intel drop
or modify the chip ID.

Intel agreed to modify the feature to turn off the tracking
ability by default, but tech enthusiasts found it was easy
to subvert Intel's modification to expose PC users. A
boycott effort, targeted at the PC manufacturers who
are Intel's main customers, remains a possible course of
action for the privacy groups.

Recent reports that Microsoft word processing and
spreadsheet software contained a similar tracking ID
may have reignited consumer privacy concerns, which
showed signs of burning out after the launch of the
Pentium III. Now, competitors appear poised to take
advantage of consumer fears of privacy violations to gain
market share at Intel's expense.

"The whole concept of putting a secure ID feature into
the chip speaks to the fact that Intel is still in denial," said
Steve Tobak, National Semiconductor's senior vice
president of marketing, in February.

SILENT KILLER
While the FTC and Intel mentioned a range of industry
players in their briefs, one name appeared surprisingly
prominently in both sides' claims: Transmeta.

Speculation has run rampant that Transmeta, a secretive
Santa Clara startup that recently filed a patent for "code
morphing," has technology that could render Intel's lead
in chip technologies irrelevant. The company is
aggressively hiring both software and hardware
engineers -- Linus Torvalds, the inventor of the Linux
operating system, is among its employees -- but
describes itself as a fabless semiconductor company.
IBM (IBM) may provide its leading-edge copper-chip
technology and manufacturing prowess to Transmeta.
And it's rumored that Gateway (GTW) may have a deal
to use Transmeta-designed chips in its next-generation
Amiga consumer computer.

"No comment," says Gateway spokesperson Bill
McEwen. "I don't know anything about that."

In documents filed with the court, Intel acknowledged
that Transmeta was likely to enter the market in 1999.
Transmeta officials could not be reached for comment,
but it's safe to assume that Intel views Transmeta's
products as a real threat to its core PC microprocessor
franchise.

Does Wall Street see a threat to Intel? "Not going to
talk about it," says Mr. Niles. Robertson Stephens's
venture-capital affiliate is an investor in Transmeta.



To: Paul Engel who wrote (75994)3/10/1999 11:28:00 AM
From: Jeff Fox  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul, re: Level One

This was a great move by Intel. LEVL is an excellent fit for Intel in product line, strategic and cultural. I'd like to know your opinion on where Intel might go with this...

1. I'm somewhat concerned with the fab of LEVL chips. What are its foundry relationships?

2. Do you see Intel moving to aquire/build internal fab for mixed signal?

3. What do you forecast for growth rate? (per LEVL history or higher?)

4. Do you see focus on fast Ethernet, or do you see thrust with ADSL and/or cable modem silicon?

Your opinions are always tops. Thanks,

Jeff



To: Paul Engel who wrote (75994)3/10/1999 12:23:00 PM
From: andy kelly  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Hi Paul

I'm sure you have sensed a certain emptiness on this board for the last 9 months-yes, my pesky questions have been missing. I fell off the edge of the earth but have recently managed to climb back up and am happy to find the INTC thread still as interesting as ever.

A few questions?

Is the Hudson fab now called #19? D1B now called #20?
Do you think Intel will maintain IA32 and IA64 indefinitely or will everyone be moved over to IA64 after a few years?
Do we have first silicon on Coppermine yet?
Is AMD to your knowledge working on a 64 bit chip?

Thanks

Andy



To: Paul Engel who wrote (75994)3/10/1999 12:58:00 PM
From: j g cordes  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Paul, NSM reports after close today. Anyone want to hazard a guess on their beating estimates or falling short of?



To: Paul Engel who wrote (75994)3/10/1999 1:12:00 PM
From: Michael Bakunin  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 186894
 
Then again, businessweek.com