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Technology Stocks : Discuss Year 2000 Issues -- Ignore unavailable to you. Want to Upgrade?


To: Hawkmoon who wrote (4863)3/20/1999 1:58:00 PM
From: C.K. Houston  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9818
 
Here's more info, from Horne's office, on that hearing scheduled for next week

<The Government Management, Information, and Technology subcommittee of the House of Representatives' Government Reform Committee is currently giving special attention to Y2K compliance activities. These activities are approaching the “above the line” cataclysmic emergencies such as regional and world wars.>

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HEARING AND WORKSHOP
Introduction Emergencies can range from a car accident to a nuclear world war. On the attached chart, “Emergency Management: The Progression from ‘Spot Emergencies' to World Conflict,” displays a range of domestic and national security emergencies.

The Government Management, Information, and Technology subcommittee of the House of Representatives' Government Reform Committee is currently giving special attention to Y2K compliance activities. These activities are approaching the “above the line” cataclysmic emergencies such as regional and world wars. The Gartner Group has projected that Y2K spending will surpass $600 billion, while total outlays for the 1960's and 1970's Southeast Asia regional conflict -- Vietnam War -- were $500 billion.

Preparation for emergencies is notoriously inadequate. This results in substantial citizen pain, suffering, and economic loss. Damage incurred by both man-caused and natural disasters, gives cause for re-examination of government and the private management of these emergencies. Lessons learned from emergency management will be instructive for citizen, private sector, and government preparation for Year 2000 problems.

HEARING AND WORKSHOP:
A two-day hearing and workshop is scheduled for March 22 and 23, 1999. Expert witnesses will testify on the first morning on general emergency management issues with special reference to the Year 2000 problem. The workshop will begin on the first afternoon and continue through late morning of the second day.

Four workshop groups, with 10 to 20 members each, will generate products that they will share with all groups. During the noon hour on March 23, each workshop group will present its products. This wrap-up presentation will end the two-day session. The workshop will modeled along the lines of a 1983 House Committee on Science and Technology workshop, “The Role of Information Technology in Emergency Management.” On that occasion, more than 120 professionals from all sectors of government and society met in small discussion groups, each with a special focus (contingency capabilities, simulating situations, etc.).

THE WORKSHOP GROUPS WILL BE:
· Role of Technology in Emergency Management;
· Citizen Needs and Emergency Management Response: a Y2K Tool Kit;
· Strategic Emergency Management Plan: Key Emergency Management Policy Issues involving the public and private sectors; and
· Disaster Information: Identification, Sharing, and Use in Domestic and International Decisions.

Workshop Descriptions and Products

ROLE OF TECHNOLOGY IN EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT

This work group will focus on the challenges posed by the 21st Century advances in
science, communications, and other technologies for emergency management with a
focus on:

· Interjurisdictional cooperation, in terms of both planning and response;
· Identification of static and dynamic user requirements;
· Information collection, sharing, and analysis with special attention to privacy issues;
· Melding advanced technology with established “manual” procedures.

Products of this work group would include:
· Projection of major concerns, with a strategy, mission, goals, and objectives, and benchmarks for resolving these concerns; and
· Action plan that identifies tactics for reaching benchmarks, posed in project manager format that in turn identifies individuals, tasks, and time table.

CITIZEN NEEDS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT RESPONSE: THE Y2K TOOL KIT

This work group will look at the citizens' needs within a variety of Y2K scenarios,with emphasis on:

· Identification of key personal and family desired responses to emergencies, with a focus on the challenges specifically posed by the Year 2000 computer problem;
· Mitigating the Y2K “panic factor” and minimizing the disruptive socio-economic outcomes and geo-political problems; and
· Review of Y2K preparatory materials produced by government and private organizations.

Products of this work group would include:
· Major emphasis will be on the production of a Year 2000 computer problem “tool kit” for individuals and families; and
· Other materials that the work group may find useful for individuals, families, governments, and private organizations in responding to the Year 2000 computer problem.

STRATEGIC EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PLAN: KEY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT POLICY ISSUES INVOLVING THE PUBLIC AND PRIVATE SECTORS

This work group will look at the changing world with emphasis on:

· Emerging threats, especially nuclear-chemical-biological-internet, requiring retrofitting of our emergency management apparatus;
· The projected impact of the Y2K problem on critical functioning within the public and private sectors, both on the domestic and international scenes;
· The need to better educate and involve the citizenry regarding actions they can take to prepare for, or survive, disasters in their increasingly complex, congested living environment; and
· Looking at global events, their potential impact on the United States, and the mechanisms, which could be used to monitor and respond to these events.

Products of this work group would include:
· Draft Emergency Management Strategic Plan with emphasis on Y2K contingencies;
· Working documents that support the Draft Emergency Management Strategic Plan.

DISASTER INFORMATION:

Identification, Sharing, and Use in Domestic and International Decisions

This workgroup will review:
· Categories of disaster management information that may be limited by liability concerns;
· Plans for the nationwide COMEX/MOBEX National Guard communications drill on May 1 and 2, 1999, and lessons that can be learned; and
· Proposals for developing an interactive knowledge base of disaster-related information accessible to disaster managers.

Products of this work group would include:
· Recommendations for how data limitations can be reduced in the future through legislative change in administrative rules, improving working relationships, enhanced trust among parties, and changes in the way that the data are handled;
· Evaluation of operational evaluations, exercises, and simulations as valid techniques for modeling disaster information identification, sharing, and use; and
· Recommendations regarding the creation of national and global disaster information networks.

The products of the work groups will be used by both the private and public sectors in
their tactical decisions such as definition of actions to be taken, checklists, contingency
planning, and alternative game plans as well as in the development of emergency
management performance measures for outcomes and results. The subcommittee will
publish and place on its web site -- – the hearing record and workshop products.

SCHEDULE
RAYBURN OFFICE BUILDING, ROOM 2154


Monday, March 22, 1999 Hearing 10 a.m. to 11:30 a.m. Lunch Break 11:30 a.m. to
12:30 p.m. Workshop 12:30 p.m. to 4:30 p.m. Tuesday, March 23, 1999 Workshop
9 a.m. to 11:15 a.m. Workshop Group Presentations 11:30 a.m. to 12:30 p.m.

WITNESS LIST

1. 18 Federal Agency – James Lee Witt, Director, Federal Emergency Management
Agency (invited)

2. 18 State and local emergency management office – Michael Humphrey, Business
Director for Telecommunications and Information, Public Technology, Inc.

3. 18 Private sector emergency management expert – Dr. James Morentz,President,
Essential Technologies, Inc.

4. 18 Emergency management association or research group – Phyllis Mann,President,
International Association of Emergency Managers (invited)




To: Hawkmoon who wrote (4863)3/20/1999 2:48:00 PM
From: Ken  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 9818
 
Re: Oil disruptions. Yes, if there was a sudden depletion in fuel stocks, there would be a spike in oil and fuel prices. But to counter that, you are quite correct in assuming the gov't would institute price controls and rationing. Americans suffered through rationing for years during WWII as you correctly note, I don't see why we can't survive a 3-6 month disruption of production and refining capacity.

The govt will definately be forced to institute rationing. Here is the priority of what little gas will be available:

0. certain top govt officials private cars: Klinton, Gorey, the Queen, governors, cabinet ministers, etc.
1. utility companies,
2. hospitals and nursing homes,
3. vital govt vehicles, such as fire, police, etc.
4. the military.
5. key personnel that have to work on the fallen grid.
6. key medical personnel.

Do not expect any remaining for the individuals, who will be LAST on the pecking order

Do not expect modern civilization to survive 3-6 months without fuel!
To understand this statement, examine the Fatal Five model, so I don't have to spend hours discussing it in depth,please.

Uh Ken... I don't believe we import much in refined products from Venezuela.

The correct figure is 15%, of our imported oil comes from Venezuela.

stocks to the SPR was an attempt to subsidize these operations. Once a stripper well is shut down, it is cost prohibitive to reopen the well and you effectively lose that major source of domestic production.

Correct on these and some of your other related statesment about US production figures. Overall, our oil exports account for more than 50%.

Our society cannot continue as is without foreign imports. Y2K will seriously/totally disrupt our own production/refining/transport in addition.

These various factors are why I so emphesize oil, from ground to utility co/gas tanks, as being the archille's heel of modern civilization.

Ken, when you're analysing the potential effects of Y2K, you shouldn't disregard the actions that Gov't can take to maintain order and social confidence.

i absolutely am with you on the above! As far as social confidence, this is what we see every day, thru the govt and private sector 'spin-doctors' reports!

As far as 'MAINTAINING ORDER', it has been suggested that I not post
the numerous articles on this thread relating to declaration of Martial Law and State of National Emergency, and activation of the already-in-place EOs and PDDs, and relating to FEMA control of the US, under the NSA, with the federalized national guard, backed up by the police and army and navy, protecting the major cities, and suspension of the Constitution and 2000 elections, with resultant loss of our civil rights and liberties, abolishment of due process, etc.......

Yes, Ron, 'MAINTAINING ORDER WILL BE THE FIRST PRIORITY OF THE GOVT!
THE FIRST PRIORITY!

Ken "its too.......!"