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To: SE who wrote (19578)3/27/1999 2:00:00 PM
From: peter n matzke  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 44573
 
I think its also important to include true valuations. There has been a trend away from dividends over the past 15 years which has also affected the way that stocks are valued.

I just looked at a 80 year bond chart in comparison and it certainly takes alot of the wind out of the decision point chart.
If you add in the differences in company valuation methods, i believe that stock valuations are much more on par (valuation of net stocks excluded).



To: SE who wrote (19578)3/27/1999 2:46:00 PM
From: Vitas  Read Replies (1) | Respond to of 44573
 
Barnes Market Risk Index:

decisionpoint.com

"This indicator is a mathematical model of stock market risk based on short and long interest rates, and 1-year trailing corporate earnings and dividends for the S&P 500. The raw indicator is "normalized" on a scale of 0 to 100 (0 = lowest risk; 100 = highest risk) based on an arbitrarily assigned normal range of 1.0 to 3.5 chosen by Decision Point."


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